Yu Hsiou Hsu vs Alexis GalarneauStuttgart Qualifying Semi-final

Stuttgart · ATP · Qualifying Semi-final
#206ATP
1509ELO
1356Grass ELO
27 yrs · 178 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LWLWWLLLLW
1 — 2
Sets
Saturday, 6 June 2026 ·
grass
MATCH COURT 2 · 3rd on
#187ATP
1568ELO
1503Grass ELO
$96kYTD
$756kCAREER
27 yrs · 180 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LWLLWWLLWW

Alexis Galarneau recovered from a set down to defeat Yu Hsiou Hsu 4-6 6-4 6-4 in the Stuttgart qualifying semi-final.

Key context

  • Set 1, game 1: Alexis Galarneau broke serve.
  • Set 2, game 9: A 15-point game with five deuces went Yu Hsiou Hsu's way.
  • Pressure points: Yu Hsiou Hsu converted 3 of 6 break points; Alexis Galarneau converted 4 of 18 break points.

Win Probability

Pre-match · updated 11:20 UTC
Hsu Y.31%
Galarneau A.69%
Toss-up
50–58%
Slight edge
58–67%
Clear favourite
67–80%
Strong favourite
80%+

Clear favourite · Galarneau A. clearly ahead, but no certainty

Calibrated model · 65% favourite accuracy (2025–26, out-of-sample). Probability is a statistical estimate, not a certainty. How it works.

Umpiry Score

Pre-match
4.2
Heavy underdogUmpiry Score
  • Surface jump clay↔grass (−0.8)
6.6
Marginal edgeUmpiry Score
Form & Matchup
3.2Grass Elo 1356
Surface ELO
6.8+147 Grass Elo edge
4.3Overall Elo 1509
ELO gap
5.7Overall Elo 1568
5.0No prior meetings
H2H
5.0No prior meetings
0.00 of last 8 on grass
Surface form
4.04 of last 9 on grass
0.0
Win streak
0.0Lost last 2
Fatigue & Travel
0.03 three-setters in 14 days
3-set count
7.01 three-setter in 14 days
3.0Clay → Grass
Surface transition
Context
5.0Didn't play here last year
Defending pts
5.0Didn't play here last year

The Umpiry Score combines match-context factors — matchup, form, fatigue, travel and motivation — into a single 0–10 score, updated daily. Read how it works.

Hsu Y.
6441
Galarneau A.
4662

Conditions

Weather
22°COvercast
Wind 3 km/hHumidity 43%

Head to head

No previous meetings on record.

Statistics

Recent form
65%1st serve in+3%62%
65%1st serve points won+3%68%
48%2nd serve points won+3%51%
59%Service points won+2%61%
40%Return points won+1%39%
58%Break points saved58%
3.5Aces / match+0.62.9
1.6Double faults / match+3.24.8

Averages from each player's recent completed matches (20 vs 20). ATP, WTA & Challenger.