Roman Safiullin vs Alexis Galarneau

Stuttgart · ATP · Qualifying Final

RUSLL

Roman Safiullin

#135ATP

1766ELO

1618Grass ELO

$86kYTD

$4.2MCAREER

28 yrs · 185 cm · Right-handed

Last 10 · pre-match

LWLWWWLLWW

1 — 2

Sets

Sunday, 7 June 2026 · 12:55

grass

MATCH COURT 2 · 2nd on

CANQ

Alexis Galarneau

#187ATP

1568ELO

1503Grass ELO

$96kYTD

$756kCAREER

27 yrs · 180 cm · Right-handed

Last 10 · pre-match

LWLLWWLLWW

Alexis Galarneau edged the deciding set 7-6 to get past Roman Safiullin in the Stuttgart qualifying final.

Key context

Set 1, game 3: Alexis Galarneau broke serve.
Set 3, game 2: Alexis Galarneau broke serve.
Pressure points: Roman Safiullin converted 1 of 1 break points; Alexis Galarneau converted 2 of 5 break points.

Win Probability

Pre-match · updated 10:21 UTC

Safiullin R.80%

Galarneau A.20%

Toss-up
50–58%

Slight edge
58–67%

Clear favourite
67–80%

Strong favourite
80%+

Clear favourite · Safiullin R. clearly ahead, but no certainty

Calibrated model · 65% favourite accuracy (2025–26, out-of-sample). Probability is a statistical estimate, not a certainty. How it works.

Umpiry Score

Pre-match

Safiullin R.

5.8

Slight disadvantageUmpiry Score

Back-to-back day (−0.5)

Galarneau A.

4.8

Heavy underdogUmpiry Score

Back-to-back day (−0.5)

Form & Matchup

6.4+115 Grass Elo edge

Surface ELO

3.6Grass Elo 1503

7.5Overall Elo 1766

ELO gap

2.5Overall Elo 1568

5.0First meeting on grass

H2H

5.0First meeting on grass

4.24 of last 10 on grass

Surface form

5.05 of last 10 on grass

Fatigue & Travel

4.02 three-setters in 14 days

3-set count

4.02 three-setters in 14 days

Context

6.0Reached the R32 here last year

Defending pts

5.0Didn't play here last year

The Umpiry Score combines match-context factors — matchup, form, fatigue, travel and motivation — into a single 0–10 score, updated daily. Read how it works.

Safiullin R.

47⁷6⁵1

Galarneau A.

66¹7⁷2