Sho Shimabukuro vs Jurij Rodionov — Stuttgart Qualifying Final
Stuttgart · ATP · Qualifying Final
JPNQ#104ATP
1605ELO
1566Grass ELO
$163kYTD
$933kCAREER
28 yrs · 180 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
WWLWWLLLLW
2 — 0
Sets
Sunday, 7 June 2026 ·
grass
MATCH COURT 2 · 1st on
#153ATP
1594ELO
1514Grass ELO
$89kYTD
$1.6MCAREER
27 yrs · 191 cm · Left-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
WLWWWLLLLW
A decisive break in the second set settled it as Sho Shimabukuro got past Jurij Rodionov 7-6 6-3 in the Stuttgart qualifying final.
Key context
- Pressure points: Sho Shimabukuro converted 3 of 3 break points; Jurij Rodionov converted 1 of 2 break points.
Win Probability
Pre-match · updated 08:21 UTCShimabukuro S.57%
Rodionov J.43%
Toss-up
50–58%
50–58%
Slight edge
58–67%
58–67%
Clear favourite
67–80%
67–80%
Strong favourite
80%+
80%+
Toss-up · Too close to call
Calibrated model · 65% favourite accuracy (2025–26, out-of-sample). Probability is a statistical estimate, not a certainty. How it works.
Umpiry Score
Pre-matchForm & Matchup
5.6+52 Grass Elo edge
Surface ELO4.3Grass Elo 1514
5.1Overall Elo 1605
ELO gap4.9Overall Elo 1594
5.0First meeting on grass
H2H5.0First meeting on grass
6.26 of last 10 on grass
Surface form2.22 of last 10 on grass
Fatigue & Travel
3-set count
7.01 three-setter in 14 days
Context
5.0Didn't play here last year
Defending pts5.0Didn't play here last year
The Umpiry Score combines match-context factors — matchup, form, fatigue, travel and motivation — into a single 0–10 score, updated daily. Read how it works.
Shimabukuro S.
7762
Rodionov J.
6430
Conditions
Weather
20°CPartly cloudy
Wind 11 km/hHumidity 45%
Head to head
No previous meetings on record.
Statistics
Recent form58%1st serve in58%
72%1st serve points won+1%73%
54%2nd serve points won54%
64%Service points won+1%65%
36%Return points won+2%38%
65%Break points saved+1%66%
6.2Aces / match+0.95.3
2.3Double faults / match+0.22.5
Averages from each player's recent completed matches (20 vs 20). ATP, WTA & Challenger.
Draw — qualifying
R16
Quarter-finals
Semi-finals
Final
Shimabukuro S.
Rodionov J.
7-646-3
Herbert P.
Shimabukuro S.
Onclin G.
Galarneau A.
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