Sho Shimabukuro vs Stefanos SakellaridisStuttgart Qualifying Semi-final

Stuttgart · ATP · Qualifying Semi-final
#104ATP
1605ELO
1566Grass ELO
$163kYTD
$933kCAREER
28 yrs · 180 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
WWLWWLLLLW
2 — 0
Sets
Saturday, 6 June 2026 ·
grass
MATCH COURT 2 · 2nd on
#155ATP
1588ELO
1544Grass ELO
$53kYTD
$258kCAREER
21 yrs · 196 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
WWWWWLWLWW

Sho Shimabukuro broke serve in the second set to take control and defeat Stefanos Sakellaridis 7-5 6-4 in the Stuttgart qualifying semi-final.

Key context

  • Pressure points: Sho Shimabukuro converted 2 of 8 break points; Stefanos Sakellaridis converted 0 of 1 break points.

Win Probability

Pre-match · updated 10:20 UTC
Shimabukuro S.54%
Sakellaridis S.46%
Toss-up
50–58%
Slight edge
58–67%
Clear favourite
67–80%
Strong favourite
80%+

Toss-up · Too close to call

Calibrated model · 65% favourite accuracy (2025–26, out-of-sample). Probability is a statistical estimate, not a certainty. How it works.

Umpiry Score

Pre-match
5.4
Clear underdogUmpiry Score
  • Back-to-back day (−0.5)
5.6
Slight disadvantageUmpiry ScorePartial · surface data limited
  • Surface jump clay↔grass (−0.8)
Form & Matchup
5.3+22 Grass Elo edge
Surface ELO
4.7Grass Elo 1544
5.2Overall Elo 1605
ELO gap
4.8Overall Elo 1588
5.0First meeting on grass
H2H
5.0First meeting on grass
5.86 of last 10 on grass
Surface form
0.0
Win streak
9.05-match win streak
Fatigue & Travel
3-set count
7.01 three-setter in 14 days
Surface transition
3.0Clay → Grass
Context
5.0Didn't play here last year
Defending pts
5.0Didn't play here last year

The Umpiry Score combines match-context factors — matchup, form, fatigue, travel and motivation — into a single 0–10 score, updated daily. Read how it works.

Shimabukuro S.
762
Sakellaridis S.
540

Conditions

Weather
21°COvercast
Wind 3 km/hHumidity 50%

Head to head

01
DateTournamentRoundSurfaceWinnerScore
2026-05-18Roland GarrosQFclayStefanos Sakellaridis6-2 4-6 5-7

Statistics

Recent form
58%1st serve in+1%59%
72%1st serve points won+1%71%
54%2nd serve points won+3%51%
64%Service points won+1%63%
36%Return points won+2%38%
65%Break points saved+9%56%
6.2Aces / match+0.26
2.3Double faults / match+0.51.8

Averages from each player's recent completed matches (20 vs 20). ATP, WTA & Challenger.