Aryna Sabalenka vs Jessica Bouzas ManeiroRoland Garros Round of 128

Roland Garros · WTA · Round of 128
#1WTA
2220ELO
2103Clay ELO
$4.7MYTD
$50MCAREER
28 yrs · 182 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LWWWLWWLWW
2 — 0
Sets
Tuesday, 26 May 2026 ·
clay
Court Philippe-Chatrier · 1st on
#52WTA
1721ELO
1677Clay ELO
$391kYTD
$2.7MCAREER
23 yrs · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LWWLWLWWLL
Sabalenka A.
6-4 6-2
Bouzas Maneiro J.
Sabalenka A.
662
Bouzas Maneiro J.
420

Aryna Sabalenka defeated Jessica Bouzas Maneiro 6-4 6-2 in the Roland Garros round of 128 on clay. The result followed the form book — Aryna Sabalenka came in ranked #1, leading the head-to-head 2–0, defending last year's final. Aryna Sabalenka extended the head-to-head to 3–0.

Key context

Head to head

20
DateTournamentRoundSurfaceWinnerScore
2025-08-07CincinnatiR16hardAryna Sabalenka6-1 7-5
2025-01-13Australian OpenR64hardAryna Sabalenka6-3 7-5

Serve vs return

This season
Sabalenka A.serving82% hold

wins 65% of points on serve vs Bouzas Maneiro J.

Bouzas Maneiro J.serving60% hold

wins 54% of points on serve vs Sabalenka A.

Serve advantage — Sabalenka A.

Each player's serve crossed against the other's return, converted to expected hold of serve. Recent completed matches, ATP, WTA & Challenger. About

Statistics

This season
1st serve in·Even
65%
63%
1st serve points won·Clear edge
74%
59%
2nd serve points won·Slight edge
56%
45%
Service points won·Clear edge
68%
54%
Return points won·Even
44%
46%
Break points saved·Clear edge
69%
52%
Aces / match·Dominant
5.2
1.6
Double faults / match·Dominant
2.0
3.9

Averages over each player's completed matches in the selected window (21 vs 17). ATP, WTA & Challenger.

Clutch

Under pressure
Clutch Rating·Dominant
98
53
Break points saved·Dominant
98
53
Break points won·Slight edge
100
95
Deciding sets·Slight edge
97
86
Tiebreaks·Dominant
100
9

Performance in the biggest moments — break points, deciding sets and tiebreaks (0–100, higher is better). About

Umpiry Score

Pre-match
8.4
Dominant favouriteUmpiry Score
5.3
Clear underdogUmpiry Score
Form & Matchup
10.0+444 Clay Elo edge
Surface ELO
0.0Clay Elo 1673
10.0Overall Elo 2240
ELO gap
0.0Overall Elo 1716
5.0No prior meetings
H2H
5.0No prior meetings
7.28 of last 10 on clay
Surface form
6.06 of last 10 on clay
0.0
Win streak
0.0
Fatigue & Travel
3-set count
0.03 three-setters in 14 days
6.4Won 73% in FRA (30)
Country comfort
Context
Defending pts
6.0Reached the R32 here last year

The Umpiry Score combines match-context factors — matchup, form, fatigue, travel and motivation — into a single 0–10 score, updated daily. Read how it works.

Freshness

Recent load
Freshness·Even
88
91

Sabalenka A.: 7 days rest · 1 match, 21 games (7d) · Bouzas Maneiro J.: 9 days rest · 3 matches (14d). Higher means fresher. About

Conditions

Court speed
Slowlow bounce, long rallies
SlowFast
Weather
29°CClear
Wind 4 km/hHumidity 38%
R128
R64
R32
R16
Quarter-finals
Semi-finals
Final
Sabalenka A.[1]
Bouzas Maneiro J.
6-46-2