Holger Rune vs Pablo Carreno Busta | Holger Rune Wins 7-5 6-3

DEN vs ESPRound RobinClaySat 13 SeptFinal

SetsGames2

Holger Rune defeated Pablo Carreno Busta 7-5 6-3 in the DEN vs ESP round robin on clay. The upset overturned the form book — Pablo Carreno Busta came in ranked #65, leading the head-to-head 3–1. Holger Rune narrowed the head-to-head to 3–2.

Key context

Match story: Holger Rune closed it out in two sets, 7–5 6–3.

How the match was decided

Auto-generated

Rune H. took it in straight sets.

Match statistics

Match statistics are not available for this match. They appear once the official scoring feed publishes them.

Common opponents

7 shared · last 12 months

Rune H. and Carreno-Busta P. faced 7 of the same opponents in the last 12 months. Rune H. went 5–2 (71%) against them, Carreno-Busta P. 1–6 (14%). Rune H. came out better against 4 of 7 comparable opponents, Carreno-Busta P. against 0 — though 1 of those edges carries caveats (retirement).

5–271%Rune H. · better vs 4Record vs common opponents1–614%Carreno-Busta P. · better vs 0

Vs common opponents · derived from scorelines

12–7Sets5–13

98–86Games79–103

2–2Tiebreaks2–2

2–0Deciding sets0–2

vs Tiafoe F.#8W6-4 3-1Cincinnati Masters · hardL4-6 3-6 1-6Roland Garros · clay
vs Fils A.#10L6-7 6-7Tokyo · hardL3-6 4-6Canada Masters · hard
vs Van De Zandschulp B.#41W6-3 7-6 7-6US Open · hardL6-7 2-6Shanghai Masters · hard

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vs Tsitsipas S.#43W6-4 6-4Indian Wells Masters · hardL4-6 6-4 3-6United Cup · hard
vs Halys Q.#48W4-6 6-2 5-7 7-5 6-2Roland Garros · clayL3-6 4-6Indian Wells Masters · hard
vs Borges N.#51L2-6 0-3Monte Carlo Masters · clayL7-6 6-7 3-6Madrid Masters · clay
vs Comesana F.#125W3-6 6-3 6-4Rome Masters · clayW6-2 7-6 7-5Roland Garros · clay

Head-to-head

5 meetings · Carreno-Busta P. leads 3–2

Clay: Rune H. leads 1–0 · Hard: Carreno-Busta P. leads 2–1 · Grass: Carreno-Busta P. leads 1–0

Rune H.September 2025DEN vs ESPThis matchClay7-5 6-3
Rune H.August 2024Canada MastersHard6-1 6-3
Carreno-Busta P.August 2022Canada MastersHard6-0 6-3
Carreno-Busta P.June 2022HalleGrass6-3 7-6
Carreno-Busta P.September 2021MetzHard6-4 3-6 6-4

Draw

Closing odds

Player context

Before the match

Rune H.Carreno-Busta P.2 051ELO1 9351 926Clay ELO1 8295–5Last 104–622Age34188 cmHeight188 cmRightPlaysRightCareer $15.7MEarningsCareer $17.9M2026 $896K

Cite this

Holger Rune beat Pablo Carreno Busta 7-5 6-3. Umpiry, "Holger Rune vs Pablo Carreno Busta — DEN vs ESP Round Robin", https://umpiry.com/match/2025-09-13/busta-vs-rune-den-vs-esp-rr?utm_source=cite (as of 13 September 2025).