Botic Van De Zandschulp defeated Pablo Carreno Busta 7-6 6-2 in the Shanghai Masters round of 128 on hard. The upset overturned the form book — Pablo Carreno Busta came in ranked #66, leading the head-to-head 2–1, but Botic Van De Zandschulp had been the form player, winning 2 of their last 4 on hard. Botic Van De Zandschulp narrowed the head-to-head to 2–2.
| Date | Tournament | Round | Surface | Winner | Score |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-02-23 | Dubai | Q1 | hard | Pablo Carreno Busta | 6-3 6-2 |
| 2026-02-21 | Dubai | Q16 | hard | Pablo Carreno Busta | 6-3 6-2 |
| 2022-05-02 | Madrid Masters | R64 | clay | Botic Van De Zandschulp | 6-7 7-6 6-3 |
Averages over each player's completed matches in the selected window (135 vs 115). ATP, WTA & Challenger.
Performance in the biggest moments — break points, deciding sets and tiebreaks (0–100, higher is better). About
Van De Zandschulp B.: 2 days rest · 3 matches, 50 games (7d) · Carreno Busta P.: 5 days rest · 1 match, 13 games (7d). Higher means fresher. About
Each player's serve crossed against the other's return, converted to expected hold of serve. Recent completed matches, ATP, WTA & Challenger. About
Per-surface Serve / Return Rating (0–100, percentile within the hard field, opponent-adjusted over 52 weeks). About