Botic Van De Zandschulp vs Pablo Carreno Busta — Shanghai Masters Round of 128

Shanghai Masters · ATP · Round of 128
Botic Van De Zandschulp
NED
Botic Van De Zandschulp
#54ATP
1743ELO
1711Hard ELO
$690kYTD
$6.6MCAREER
30 yrs · 191 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LWLWLLLLLW
2 — 0
Sets
Wednesday, 2 October 2024
hard
Pablo Carreno Busta
ESP
Pablo Carreno Busta
#71ATP
1801ELO
1744Hard ELO
$641kYTD
$18MCAREER
35 yrs · 188 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LWLWWWWLWW
Van De Zandschulp B.
7-6 6-2
Carreno Busta P.
Van De Zandschulp B.
7762
Carreno Busta P.
6520

Botic Van De Zandschulp defeated Pablo Carreno Busta 7-6 6-2 in the Shanghai Masters round of 128 on hard. The result followed the form book — Botic Van De Zandschulp came in ranked #54, defending last year's round of 64. Botic Van De Zandschulp extended the head-to-head to 2–1.

Key context

Head to head

1–1
DateTournamentRoundSurfaceWinnerScore
2026-02-23DubaiQ1hardPablo Carreno Busta6-3 6-2
2022-05-02Madrid MastersR64clayBotic Van De Zandschulp6-7(6) 7-6(1) 6-3

Serve vs return

This season
Van De Zandschulp B.serving78% hold

wins 62% of points on serve vs Carreno Busta P.

Carreno Busta P.serving80% hold

wins 63% of points on serve vs Van De Zandschulp B.

Even serve battle

Each player's serve crossed against the other's return, converted to expected hold of serve. Recent completed matches, ATP, WTA & Challenger. About

Serve & return on hard

Van De Zandschulp B.Carreno Busta P.
41
Serve
21
43
Return
44

Per-surface Serve / Return Rating (0–100, percentile within the hard field, opponent-adjusted over 52 weeks). About

Statistics

This season
Van De Zandschulp B.Carreno Busta P.
1st serve in·Even
62%
66%
1st serve points won·Even
72%
69%
2nd serve points won·Even
47%
51%
Service points won·Even
62%
63%
Return points won·Even
39%
39%
Break points saved·Even
59%
59%
Aces / match·Clear edge
5.4
3.1
Double faults / match·Dominant
4.0
1.8

Averages over each player's completed matches in the selected window (144 vs 115). ATP, WTA & Challenger.

Clutch

Under pressure
Van De Zandschulp B.Carreno Busta P.
Clutch Rating·Even
77
78
Break points saved·Even
98
97
Break points won·Slight edge
68
61
Deciding sets·Even
78
80
Tiebreaks·Clear edge
81
95

Performance in the biggest moments — break points, deciding sets and tiebreaks (0–100, higher is better). About

Umpiry Score

Pre-match
Van De Zandschulp B.
6.6
Marginal edgeUmpiry Score
Carreno Busta P.
6.9
Slight advantageUmpiry Score
Form & Matchup
5.0Hard Elo 1711
Surface ELO
5.0+34 Hard Elo edge
5.1Overall Elo 1743
ELO gap
4.9Overall Elo 1801
5.0
H2H
5.0
4.4
Surface form
6.7
0.0
Win streak
0.0
Fatigue & Travel
7.2
Minutes 14d
8.9
7.0
3-set count
7.0
8.0
Prev. match
8.0
Context
6.0
Defending pts
5.0

The Umpiry Score combines match-context factors — matchup, form, fatigue, travel and motivation — into a single 0–10 score, updated daily. Read how it works.

Freshness

Recent load
Van De Zandschulp B.Carreno Busta P.
Freshness·Even
89
90

Van De Zandschulp B.: 11 days rest · 2 matches (14d) · Carreno Busta P.: 10 days rest · 2 matches (14d). Higher means fresher. About

Conditions

Court speed
Fastbig serves, short points
SlowFast
Weather
22°COvercast
Wind 22 km/hHumidity 50%
Final
Sinner J.[1]
Djokovic N.[4]
7-646-3
Semi-finals
Sinner J.[1]
Machac T.[30]
6-47-5
Djokovic N.[4]
Fritz T.[7]
6-47-66
Quarter-finals
Sinner J.[1]
Medvedev D.[5]
6-16-4
Fritz T.[7]
Goffin D.
6-36-4
Djokovic N.[4]
Mensik J.
6-746-16-4
Machac T.[30]
Alcaraz C.[3]
7-657-5
R16
Alcaraz C.[3]
Monfils G.
6-47-5
Djokovic N.[4]
Safiullin R.
6-36-2
Goffin D.
Zverev A.[2]
6-47-5
Sinner J.[1]
Shelton B.[14]
6-47-61
Machac T.[30]
Paul T.[11]
3-66-46-3
Medvedev D.[5]
Tsitsipas S.[10]
7-636-3
Mensik J.
Dimitrov G.[9]
6-33-66-4
Fritz T.[7]
Rune H.[12]
6-16-2
R32
Mensik J.
Shevchenko A.
6-16-756-2
Rune H.[12]
Lehecka J.
6-47-5
Machac T.[30]
Vukic A.
6-46-2
Shelton B.[14]
Carballes Baena R.
6-36-4
Goffin D.
Giron M.
1-66-37-5
Paul T.[11]
Tabilo A.[19]
6-727-666-2
Tsitsipas S.[10]
Muller A.
6-37-5
Monfils G.
Humbert U.[16]
7-672-66-1
Safiullin R.
Tiafoe F.[13]
5-77-57-65
Fritz T.[7]
Watanuki Y.
6-36-4
Dimitrov G.[9]
Popyrin A.[20]
7-656-2
Medvedev D.[5]
Arnaldi M.[29]
5-76-46-4
Sinner J.[1]
Etcheverry T.[31]
6-736-46-2
Alcaraz C.[3]
Wu Y.
7-656-3
Zverev A.[2]
Griekspoor T.
7-662-67-65
Djokovic N.[4]
Cobolli F.[28]
6-16-2
R64
Carballes Baena R.
Fils A.[21]
7-647-65
Fritz T.[7]
Atmane T.
7-647-65
Djokovic N.[4]
Michelsen A.
7-637-69
Rune H.[12]
Berrettini M.
4-66-46-3
Sinner J.[1]
Daniel T.
6-16-4
Shelton B.[14]
Shapovalov D.
6-37-5
Tsitsipas S.[10]
Nishikori K.
7-666-4
Muller A.
Auger Aliassime F.[18]
6-36-2
Arnaldi M.[29]
Svajda Z.
6-726-26-4
Medvedev D.[5]
Seyboth Wild T.
7-57-5
Wu Y.
Jarry N.[25]
6-26-1
Humbert U.[16]
Cazaux A.
6-36-2
Machac T.[30]
Davidovich Fokina A.
1-67-636-4
Vukic A.
Ruud C.[8]
6-46-4
Popyrin A.[20]
Kecmanovic M.
6-36-2
Dimitrov G.[9]
Bergs Z.
6-33-66-2
Cobolli F.[28]
Wawrinka S.
6-767-646-3
Watanuki Y.
Nakashima B.[32]
7-646-3
Lehecka J.
Munar J.
7-666-4
Giron M.
Khachanov K.[24]
6-46-3
Griekspoor T.
Thompson J.[26]
6-36-2
Monfils G.
Baez S.[22]
6-34-66-4
Shevchenko A.
Cerundolo F.[27]
7-677-5
Safiullin R.
Bublik A.[23]
6-46-2
Paul T.[11]
Fognini F.
6-16-3
Goffin D.
Musetti L.[15]
1-67-666-2
Tiafoe F.[13]
Zhou Y.
6-26-4
Tabilo A.[19]
Rinderknech A.
6-36-2
Etcheverry T.[31]
Van De Zandschulp B.
7-653-67-5
Mensik J.
Rublev A.[6]
6-776-46-3
Alcaraz C.[3]
Shang J.
6-26-2
Zverev A.[2]
Bellucci M.
6-46-2
R128
Nishikori K.
Navone M.
3-66-46-3
Svajda Z.
Mannarino A.
6-31-66-0
Zhou Y.
Nishioka Y.
2-4
Wawrinka S.
Mpetshi Perricard G.
7-627-66
Berrettini M.
Oconnell C.
7-697-66
Shapovalov D.
Sonego L.
7-657-68
Rinderknech A.
Opelka R.
6-47-65
Carballes Baena R.
Bautista Agut R.
3-66-36-2
Daniel T.
Gerasimov E.
6-756-36-4
Van De Zandschulp B.
Carreno Busta P.
7-656-2
Seyboth Wild T.
Evans D.
6-24-67-63
Shang J.
Wong C.
6-46-4
Wu Y.
Nagal S.
6-36-3
Monfils G.
Dzumhur D.
6-46-3
Cazaux A.
Cilic M.
6-46-4
Davidovich Fokina A.
Diallo G.
7-57-67
Mensik J.
Martinez P.
6-15-76-4
Shevchenko A.
Ramanathan R.
6-17-63
Kecmanovic M.
Hijikata R.
6-26-2
Bergs Z.
Zhang Z.
6-46-3
Michelsen A.
Yunchaokete B.
6-36-4
Goffin D.
Duckworth J.
6-46-2
Griekspoor T.
Diaz Acosta F.
6-46-766-3
Muller A.
Nardi L.
4-66-16-1
Vukic A.
Moutet C.
2-66-36-4
Munar J.
Gaston H.
6-36-3
Fognini F.
Darderi L.
6-46-756-4
Giron M.
Tu L.
6-17-64
Bellucci M.
Harris B.
6-36-4
Safiullin R.
Zhukayev B.
7-606-4
Atmane T.
Kovacevic A.
6-47-64
Watanuki Y.
Kotov P.
6-766-47-5