Botic Van De Zandschulp vs Pablo Carreno BustaMadrid Masters Round of 64

Madrid Masters · ATP · Round of 64
#54ATP
1743ELO
1690Clay ELO
$690kYTD
$6.6MCAREER
30 yrs · 191 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LWLWLLLLLW
2 — 1
Sets
Monday, 2 May 2022
clay
#71ATP
1801ELO
1767Clay ELO
$641kYTD
$18MCAREER
34 yrs · 188 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LWLWWWWLWW
Van De Zandschulp B.
6-7 7-6 6-3
Carreno Busta P.
Van De Zandschulp B.
667762
Carreno Busta P.
786131

Botic Van De Zandschulp defeated Pablo Carreno Busta 6-7 7-6 6-3 in the Madrid Masters round of 64 on clay. Botic Van De Zandschulp extended the head-to-head to 2–1.

Key context

Head to head

11
DateTournamentRoundSurfaceWinnerScore
2026-02-23DubaiQ1hardPablo Carreno Busta6-3 6-2
2024-10-02Shanghai MastersR128hardBotic Van De Zandschulp7-6(5) 6-2

Serve vs return

This season
Van De Zandschulp B.serving72% hold

wins 59% of points on serve vs Carreno Busta P.

Carreno Busta P.serving78% hold

wins 62% of points on serve vs Van De Zandschulp B.

Serve advantage — Carreno Busta P.

Each player's serve crossed against the other's return, converted to expected hold of serve. Recent completed matches, ATP, WTA & Challenger. About

Serve & return on clay

Van De Zandschulp B.Carreno Busta P.
33
Serve
74
Return

Per-surface Serve / Return Rating (0–100, percentile within the clay field, opponent-adjusted over 52 weeks). About

Statistics

This season
1st serve in·Even
62%
66%
1st serve points won·Even
71%
70%
2nd serve points won·Slight edge
47%
53%
Service points won·Even
62%
64%
Return points won·Even
38%
39%
Break points saved·Even
60%
61%
Aces / match·Clear edge
5.6
3.6
Double faults / match·Dominant
3.9
1.9

Averages over each player's completed matches in the selected window (200 vs 183). ATP, WTA & Challenger.

Clutch

Under pressure
Clutch Rating·Even
77
78
Break points saved·Even
98
97
Break points won·Slight edge
68
61
Deciding sets·Even
78
80
Tiebreaks·Clear edge
80
95

Performance in the biggest moments — break points, deciding sets and tiebreaks (0–100, higher is better). About

Umpiry Score

Pre-match
5.4
Clear underdogUmpiry Score
  • Recent retirement (−1.5)
7.2
Strong advantageUmpiry Score
Form & Matchup
4.8Clay Elo 1690
Surface ELO
5.2+76 Clay Elo edge
5.1Overall Elo 1743
ELO gap
4.9Overall Elo 1801
5.0
H2H
5.0
7.1
Surface form
7.0
0.0
Win streak
Fatigue & Travel
5.2
Minutes 14d
4.1
7.0
3-set count
4.0
Prev. match
9.0
Country comfort
6.9
Context
5.0
Defending pts
6.0

The Umpiry Score combines match-context factors — matchup, form, fatigue, travel and motivation — into a single 0–10 score, updated daily. Read how it works.

Freshness

Recent load
Freshness·Even
87
89

Van De Zandschulp B.: 10 days rest · 2 matches (14d) · Carreno Busta P.: 9 days rest · 2 matches (14d). Higher means fresher. About

Conditions

Court speed
Medium-slowfavours grinders
SlowFast
Weather
16°COvercast
Wind 11 km/hHumidity 66%