Quentin Halys vs Pablo Carreno BustaIndian Wells Masters Round of 128

Indian Wells Masters · ATP · Round of 128
#95ATP
1707ELO
1677Hard ELO
$694kYTD
$5.4MCAREER
29 yrs · 191 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LWLWLLLWWL
2 — 0
Sets
Wednesday, 5 March 2025
hard
#71ATP
1801ELO
1744Hard ELO
$641kYTD
$18MCAREER
35 yrs · 188 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LWLWWWWLWW
Halys Q.
6-3 6-4
Carreno Busta P.
Halys Q.
662
Carreno Busta P.
340

Quentin Halys defeated Pablo Carreno Busta 6-3 6-4 in the Indian Wells Masters round of 128 on hard. The upset overturned the form book — Pablo Carreno Busta came in ranked #71. Quentin Halys extended the head-to-head to 2–0.

Key context

  • Match story: Quentin Halys closed it out in two sets, 6–3 6–4.

Head to head

10
DateTournamentRoundSurfaceWinnerScore
2026-02-16DohaR32hardQuentin Halys4-6 7-5 6-3

Serve vs return

This season
Halys Q.serving83% hold

wins 65% of points on serve vs Carreno Busta P.

Carreno Busta P.serving89% hold

wins 69% of points on serve vs Halys Q.

Serve-dominated — both hold easily, expect tiebreaks

Each player's serve crossed against the other's return, converted to expected hold of serve. Recent completed matches, ATP, WTA & Challenger. About

Serve & return on hard

Halys Q.Carreno Busta P.
35
Serve
21
26
Return
44

Per-surface Serve / Return Rating (0–100, percentile within the hard field, opponent-adjusted over 52 weeks). About

Statistics

This season
1st serve in·Slight edge
60%
66%
1st serve points won·Slight edge
77%
69%
2nd serve points won·Even
50%
52%
Service points won·Even
66%
63%
Return points won·Slight edge
33%
40%
Break points saved·Slight edge
64%
59%
Aces / match·Dominant
10.5
3.2
Double faults / match·Dominant
3.5
1.6

Averages over each player's completed matches in the selected window (84 vs 91). ATP, WTA & Challenger.

Clutch

Under pressure
Clutch Rating·Clear edge
57
78
Break points saved·Even
97
97
Break points won·Dominant
4
61
Deciding sets·Slight edge
75
80
Tiebreaks·Even
91
95

Performance in the biggest moments — break points, deciding sets and tiebreaks (0–100, higher is better). About

Umpiry Score

Pre-match
6.9
Slight advantageUmpiry Score
7.1
Strong advantageUmpiry Score
  • Injury return: 23 days (−0.3)
Form & Matchup
4.3Hard Elo 1677
Surface ELO
5.7+67 Hard Elo edge
4.1Overall Elo 1707
ELO gap
5.9Overall Elo 1801
5.0
H2H
5.0
7.1
Surface form
10.0
Win streak
10.010-match win streak
Fatigue & Travel
2.6
Minutes 14d
0.0
3-set count
8.0
Prev. match
Country comfort
5.5
Context
6.0
Defending pts
5.0

The Umpiry Score combines match-context factors — matchup, form, fatigue, travel and motivation — into a single 0–10 score, updated daily. Read how it works.

Freshness

Recent load
Freshness·Even
89
89

Halys Q.: 9 days rest · 2 matches (14d) · Carreno Busta P.: 9 days rest · 2 matches (14d). Higher means fresher. About

Conditions

Court speed
Medium-slowfavours grinders
SlowFast
Weather
21°COvercast
Wind 10 km/hHumidity 27%