Alexander Bublik vs Jannik SinnerHalle Round of 16

Halle · ATP · Round of 16
#11ATP
1889ELO
1802Grass ELO
$1.2MYTD
$12MCAREER
29 yrs · 196 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LWWWLLWWWL
2 — 1
Sets
Thursday, 19 June 2025 ·
grass
#1ATP
2320ELO
2088Grass ELO
$6.9MYTD
$65MCAREER
24 yrs · 191 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
WWWWWWWWLW
Bublik A.
3-6 6-3 6-4
Sinner J.
Bublik A.
3662
Sinner J.
6341

Alexander Bublik defeated Jannik Sinner 3-6 6-3 6-4 in the Halle round of 16 on grass. The upset overturned the form book — Jannik Sinner came in ranked #1, leading the head-to-head 10–3, defending the title. Alexander Bublik narrowed the head-to-head to 10–4.

Key context

Head to head

310
DateTournamentRoundSurfaceWinnerScore
2025-10-24ViennaQFhardJannik Sinner6-4 6-4
2025-10-20ViennaQFhardJannik Sinner6-4 6-4
2025-09-01US OpenR16hardJannik Sinner6-1 6-1 6-1
2025-08-25US OpenR16hardJannik Sinner6-1 6-1 6-1
2025-06-16HalleR16grassAlexander Bublik3-6 6-3 6-4
2025-06-04Roland GarrosQFclayJannik Sinner6-1 7-5 6-0
2025-05-26Roland GarrosQFclayJannik Sinner6-1 7-5 6-0
2023-06-23HalleQFgrassAlexander Bublik7-5 2-0
2023-06-19HalleQFgrassAlexander Bublik7-5 2-0
2023-06-14s HertogenboschR16grassJannik Sinner6-4 6-2
2023-06-12s HertogenboschR16grassJannik Sinner6-4 6-2
2021-03-22Miami MastersQFhardJannik Sinner7-6 6-4
2021-03-15DubaiR32hardJannik Sinner2-6 7-6 6-4

Statistics

This season
1st serve in·Even
63%
63%
1st serve points won·Even
78%
80%
2nd serve points won·Slight edge
49%
59%
Service points won·Slight edge
67%
72%
Return points won·Slight edge
35%
42%
Break points saved·Slight edge
68%
73%
Aces / match·Dominant
11.1
7.3
Double faults / match·Dominant
4.6
1.4

Averages over each player's completed matches in the selected window (89 vs 94). ATP, WTA & Challenger.

Clutch

Under pressure
Clutch Rating·Clear edge
77
100
Break points saved·Even
98
100
Break points won·Dominant
47
99
Deciding sets·Even
97
100
Tiebreaks·Slight edge
90
100

Performance in the biggest moments — break points, deciding sets and tiebreaks (0–100, higher is better). About

Freshness

Recent load
Freshness·Dominant
59
96

Bublik A.: 1 day rest · 4 matches, 80 games (7d) · Sinner J.: 14 days rest · 1 match (14d). Higher means fresher. About

Conditions

Court speed
Fastbig serves, short points
SlowFast

Draw