Carlos Alcaraz vs Tommy PaulRoland Garros Quarter-final

Roland Garros · ATP · Quarter-final
#2ATP
2162ELO
2102Clay ELO
$4.4MYTD
$65MCAREER
23 yrs · 183 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LWLWWWWLWL
3 — 0
Sets
Monday, 26 May 2025
clay
#25ATP
1949ELO
1886Clay ELO
$1.7MYTD
$15MCAREER
29 yrs · 185 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LWWLWWWWLW
Alcaraz C.
6-0 6-1 6-4
Paul T.
Alcaraz C.
6663
Paul T.
0140

Carlos Alcaraz defeated Tommy Paul 6-0 6-1 6-4 in the Roland Garros quarter-final on clay. The result followed the form book — Carlos Alcaraz came in ranked #2, leading the head-to-head 5–2, defending the title. Carlos Alcaraz extended the head-to-head to 6–2.

Key context

Head to head

52
DateTournamentRoundSurfaceWinnerScore
2026-01-19Australian OpenR16hardCarlos Alcaraz7-6(6) 6-4 7-5
2024-07-29Paris OlympicsQFclayCarlos Alcaraz6-3 7-6(7)
2024-07-01WimbledonQFgrassCarlos Alcaraz5-7 6-4 6-2 6-2
2023-08-14Cincinnati MastersR16hardCarlos Alcaraz7-6(6) 6-7(0) 6-3
2023-08-07Canada MastersQFhardTommy Paul6-3 4-6 6-3
2023-03-20Miami MastersR16hardCarlos Alcaraz6-4 6-4
2022-08-08Canada MastersR32hardTommy Paul6-7(4) 7-6(7) 6-3

Serve vs return

This season
Alcaraz C.serving83% hold

wins 65% of points on serve vs Paul T.

Paul T.serving76% hold

wins 61% of points on serve vs Alcaraz C.

Serve advantage — Alcaraz C.

Each player's serve crossed against the other's return, converted to expected hold of serve. Recent completed matches, ATP, WTA & Challenger. About

Serve & return on clay

Alcaraz C.Paul T.
Serve
34
Return

Per-surface Serve / Return Rating (0–100, percentile within the clay field, opponent-adjusted over 52 weeks). About

Statistics

This season
1st serve in·Even
65%
61%
1st serve points won·Even
74%
74%
2nd serve points won·Even
57%
54%
Service points won·Even
68%
67%
Return points won·Even
42%
39%
Break points saved·Even
67%
63%
Aces / match·Slight edge
5.6
6.4
Double faults / match·Slight edge
2.6
2.0

Averages over each player's completed matches in the selected window (103 vs 66). ATP, WTA & Challenger.

Clutch

Under pressure
Clutch Rating·Slight edge
98
93
Break points saved·Even
100
99
Break points won·Clear edge
99
87
Deciding sets·Even
100
98
Tiebreaks·Even
100
96

Performance in the biggest moments — break points, deciding sets and tiebreaks (0–100, higher is better). About

Umpiry Score

Pre-match
9.3
Dominant favouriteUmpiry Score
5.7
Slight disadvantageUmpiry Score
Form & Matchup
9.3+216 Clay Elo edge
Surface ELO
0.7Clay Elo 1886
9.3Overall Elo 2162
ELO gap
0.7Overall Elo 1949
10.0
H2H
0.0
9.3
Surface form
7.6
9.06-match win streak
Win streak
Fatigue & Travel
8.0
Prev. match
8.0
6.5
Country comfort
5.2
Context
Defending pts
6.0

The Umpiry Score combines match-context factors — matchup, form, fatigue, travel and motivation — into a single 0–10 score, updated daily. Read how it works.

Freshness

Recent load
Freshness·
86

Paul T.: 9 days rest · 3 matches (14d). Higher means fresher. About

Conditions

Court speed
Slowlow bounce, long rallies
SlowFast
Weather
17°COvercast
Wind 12 km/hHumidity 53%
R128
Altmaier D.
Fritz T.[7]
7-53-66-36-1
Quinn E.
Dimitrov G.[16]
2-63-66-2
Mensik J.[26]
Muller A.
7-56-757-56-3
Fucsovics M.
Schoolkate T.[15]
6-46-26-2
Kopriva V.
Monteiro T.
6-46-34-66-766-1
Fearnley J.
Wawrinka S.
7-666-36-2
Shelton B.[5]
Sonego L.
6-44-63-66-26-3
Halys Q.
Machac T.[21]
7-644-1
Dzumhur D.
Tirante T.
3-66-46-37-5
Herbert P.
Bonzi B.
7-53-64-67-56-2
Rune H.[10]
Bautista Agut R.
6-746-46-36-2
Galan D.
Royer V.
7-666-33-66-747-5
Khachanov K.[13]
Vukic A.
6-46-46-4
De Jong J.
Passaro F.
3-66-776-47-616-1
Borges N.
Jacquet K.
3-66-736-46-36-3
Tiafoe F.[19]
Safiullin R.
6-47-56-4
Tabilo A.
Cazaux A.
5-76-36-21-66-3
Walton A.
Marterer M.
7-634-66-32-66-2
Moutet C.[30]
Tabur C.
6-37-666-3
Popyrin A.[25]
Nishioka Y.
7-56-41-2
Rublev A.[11]
Harris L.[31]
6-44-66-36-1
Paul T.[24]
Moller E.
6-756-26-36-1
Misolic F.
Yunchaokete B.
5-77-637-646-1
Gaston H.
Blanchet U.
2-66-02-66-36-4
Diallo G.
Cerundolo F.[25]
7-56-36-4
Sinner J.[1]
Rinderknech A.[22]
6-46-37-5
Navone M.
Nakashima B.[31]
7-624-66-16-2
Medjedovic H.
Majchrzak K.
6-36-37-62
Cobolli F.[10]
Cilic M.
6-26-16-3
Griekspoor T.[29]
Giron M.
4-66-36-47-5
Zverev A.[2]
Tien L.[18]
6-36-36-4
Davidovich Fokina A.[21]
Llamas Ruiz P.
6-36-26-746-3
Alcaraz C.[2]
Zeppieri G.
6-36-46-2
Opelka R.
Hijikata R.
1-66-37-57-63
Munar J.
Ugo Carabelli C.
6-46-17-5
Gomez F.
Kovacevic A.
4-66-46-46-1
Musetti L.[8]
Hanfmann Y.
7-56-26-0
Carreno Busta P.
Comesana F.
6-27-637-5
Cerundolo J.
Michelsen A.[32]
6-36-26-4
Draper J.[5]
Bellucci M.
3-66-16-46-2
Gigante M.
Hassan B.
6-46-26-0
De Minaur A.[8]
Djere L.
6-36-47-66
Ofner S.
Struff J.
7-656-36-756-2
Rocha H.[11]
Basilashvili N.[9]
7-602-67-692-66-2
Gasquet R.
Atmane T.
6-22-66-36-0
Kecmanovic M.
Baez S.
6-736-746-46-26-2
Mpetshi Perricard G.[31]
Bergs Z.
4-66-37-656-4
Djokovic N.[3]
Mcdonald M.[18]
6-36-36-3
Norrie C.
Medvedev D.[6]
7-56-34-61-67-5
Lehecka J.[12]
Thompson J.
6-46-26-1
Monfils G.
Dellien H.
4-63-66-17-646-1
Brooksby J.
Faria J.
6-13-66-36-2
Nava E.
Van De Zandschulp B.
6-27-57-5
Shevchenko A.
Lajovic D.[20]
6-26-47-64
Humbert U.[32]
Oconnell C.
7-56-37-63
Fonseca J.[28]
Hurkacz H.[30]
6-26-46-2
Marozsan F.
Nardi L.
6-26-37-63
Fils A.[14]
Jarry N.
6-36-46-766-3
Arnaldi M.
Auger Aliassime F.[4]
5-72-66-36-46-2
Korda S.[23]
Darderi L.[14]
6-24-66-36-2
Shapovalov D.[27]
Martinez P.[24]
6-26-06-3
Bublik A.[9]
Duckworth J.
6-26-46-4
Ruud C.[15]
Ramos A.
6-36-46-2
Tsitsipas S.[20]
Etcheverry T.[23]
7-56-36-4