Luka Pavlovic vs Mathys Erhard — Kigali 2 CH Round of 16

Kigali 2 CH · CHALLENGER · Round of 16
FRA
Luka Pavlovic
#264ATP
1510ELO
1467Clay ELO
26 yrs · 196 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LWLWLWLLLL
2 — 0
Sets
Monday, 3 March 2025
clay
FRA
Mathys Erhard
#357ATP
1382ELO
1351Clay ELO
24 yrs · 188 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LWLWWWLWLW
Pavlovic L.
6-4 6-4
Erhard M.
Pavlovic L.
662
Erhard M.
440

Luka Pavlovic defeated Mathys Erhard 6-4 6-4 in the Kigali 2 CH round of 16 on clay.

Key context

  • Match story: Luka Pavlovic edged a tight contest from start to finish — 6–4 6–4.

Head to head

No previous meetings on record.

Serve vs return

This season
Pavlovic L.serving74% hold

wins 60% of points on serve vs Erhard M.

Erhard M.serving78% hold

wins 62% of points on serve vs Pavlovic L.

Even serve battle

Each player's serve crossed against the other's return, converted to expected hold of serve. Recent completed matches, ATP, WTA & Challenger. About

Statistics

This season
Pavlovic L.Erhard M.
1st serve in·Clear edge
53%
65%
1st serve points won·Slight edge
76%
69%
2nd serve points won·Even
49%
47%
Service points won·Even
63%
61%
Return points won·Even
35%
39%
Break points saved·Slight edge
67%
61%
Aces / match·Dominant
9.5
3.8
Double faults / match·Clear edge
4.2
2.8

Averages over each player's completed matches in the selected window (76 vs 69). ATP, WTA & Challenger.

Clutch

Under pressure
Pavlovic L.Erhard M.
Clutch Rating·Dominant
60
23
Break points saved·Clear edge
93
73
Break points won·Slight edge
24
19
Deciding sets·Dominant
71
37
Tiebreaks·Dominant
91
11

Performance in the biggest moments — break points, deciding sets and tiebreaks (0–100, higher is better). About

Umpiry Score

Pre-match
Pavlovic L.
5.2
Clear underdogUmpiry Score
  • Recent retirement (−1.5)
Erhard M.
4.6
Heavy underdogUmpiry Score
  • Recent retirement (−1.5)
Form & Matchup
6.9+115 Clay Elo edge
Surface ELO
3.1Clay Elo 1351
7.1Overall Elo 1510
ELO gap
2.9Overall Elo 1382
0.0No prior meetings
H2H
10.0
6.7
Surface form
5.7
Fatigue & Travel
7.4
Minutes 14d
6.9
7.0
Prev. match
7.0
Context
5.0
Defending pts
5.0

The Umpiry Score combines match-context factors — matchup, form, fatigue, travel and motivation — into a single 0–10 score, updated daily. Read how it works.

Freshness

Recent load
Pavlovic L.Erhard M.
Freshness·Slight edge
77
85

Pavlovic L.: 4 days rest · 2 matches, 49 games (7d) · Erhard M.: 6 days rest · 2 matches, 37 games (7d). Higher means fresher. About

Conditions

Court speed
Fastbig serves, short points
SlowFast
Final
Royer V.[4]
Den Ouden G.
6-26-4
Semi-finals
Royer V.[4]
Houkes M.
7-676-2
Den Ouden G.
Pavlovic L.
6-36-4
Quarter-finals
Houkes M.
Tabur C.
6-27-65
Royer V.[4]
Pennaforti G.
6-37-65
Pavlovic L.
Cecchinato M.
7-636-746-4
Den Ouden G.
Hemery C.[2]
6-736-02-0
R16
Pennaforti G.
Neumayer L.[5]
7-56-4
Cecchinato M.
Michalski D.
6-46-1
Den Ouden G.
Ionel N.
7-56-1
Houkes M.
Marti Pujolras A.
5-76-46-3
Tabur C.
Blancaneaux G.[7]
7-616-3
Royer V.[4]
Agamenone F.
7-637-62
Hemery C.[2]
Denolly C.
6-36-4
Pavlovic L.
Erhard M.
6-46-4
R32
Marti Pujolras A.
De Jong J.[1]
7-53-2
Houkes M.
Sanchez Jover C.
6-36-1
Tabur C.
Neuchrist M.
7-666-4
Blancaneaux G.[7]
Picchione A.
6-36-4
Royer V.[4]
Roca Batalla O.
6-24-66-3
Agamenone F.
Martin A.
7-666-756-3
Pennaforti G.
Schwaerzler J.
6-46-2
Neumayer L.[5]
Chazal M.
6-26-4
Michalski D.
Jianu F.[8]
6-23-66-2
Cecchinato M.
Gakhov I.
7-57-65
Pavlovic L.
Taberner C.[3]
7-646-2
Den Ouden G.
Misolic F.
6-26-2
Hemery C.[2]
Erel Y.
6-37-64
Erhard M.
Janvier M.
6-36-2
Ionel N.
Tomic B.[6]
6-47-69
Denolly C.
Coulibaly E.
6-46-1