Luka Pavlovic vs Marco CecchinatoKigali 2 CH Quarter-final

Kigali 2 CH · CHALLENGER · Quarter-final
#264ATP
1510ELO
1467Clay ELO
26 yrs · 196 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LWLWLWLLLL
2 — 1
Sets
Monday, 3 March 2025
clay
#175ATP
1576ELO
1546Clay ELO
$149kYTD
$5.3MCAREER
33 yrs · 185 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
WWLWWWWLLW
Pavlovic L.
7-6 6-7 6-4
Cecchinato M.
Pavlovic L.
776462
Cecchinato M.
637741

Luka Pavlovic defeated Marco Cecchinato 7-6 6-7 6-4 in the Kigali 2 CH quarter-final on clay.

Key context

Head to head

No previous meetings on record.

Serve vs return

This season
Pavlovic L.serving74% hold

wins 60% of points on serve vs Cecchinato M.

Cecchinato M.serving80% hold

wins 63% of points on serve vs Pavlovic L.

Serve advantage — Cecchinato M.

Each player's serve crossed against the other's return, converted to expected hold of serve. Recent completed matches, ATP, WTA & Challenger. About

Statistics

This season
1st serve in·Slight edge
53%
64%
1st serve points won·Slight edge
76%
67%
2nd serve points won·Even
49%
53%
Service points won·Even
63%
62%
Return points won·Even
35%
39%
Break points saved·Slight edge
67%
62%
Aces / match·Dominant
9.4
2.5
Double faults / match·Clear edge
4.1
2.7

Averages over each player's completed matches in the selected window (76 vs 105). ATP, WTA & Challenger.

Clutch

Under pressure
Clutch Rating·Clear edge
60
42
Break points saved·Even
93
89
Break points won·Even
24
20
Deciding sets·Dominant
71
36
Tiebreaks·Clear edge
91
79

Performance in the biggest moments — break points, deciding sets and tiebreaks (0–100, higher is better). About

Umpiry Score

Pre-match
4.8
Heavy underdogUmpiry Score
  • Recent retirement (−1.5)
6.6
Marginal edgeUmpiry Score
Form & Matchup
4.1Clay Elo 1467
Surface ELO
5.9+80 Clay Elo edge
4.4Overall Elo 1510
ELO gap
5.6Overall Elo 1576
5.0No prior meetings
H2H
5.0
6.7
Surface form
5.9
Fatigue & Travel
7.4
Minutes 14d
4.9
3-set count
4.0
7.0
Prev. match
8.0
Context
5.0
Defending pts
5.0

The Umpiry Score combines match-context factors — matchup, form, fatigue, travel and motivation — into a single 0–10 score, updated daily. Read how it works.

Freshness

Recent load
Freshness·Slight edge
80
69

Pavlovic L.: 5 days rest · 2 matches, 49 games (7d) · Cecchinato M.: 2 days rest · 2 matches, 37 games (7d). Higher means fresher. About

Conditions

Court speed
Fastbig serves, short points
SlowFast