Guy Den Ouden vs Luka Pavlovic — Kigali 2 CH Semi-final

Kigali 2 CH · CHALLENGER · Semi-final
NED
Guy Den Ouden
#231ATP
1495ELO
1484Clay ELO
$84kYTD
$332kCAREER
24 yrs · 183 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LWWLLLWLWW
2 — 0
Sets
Monday, 3 March 2025
clay
FRA
Luka Pavlovic
#264ATP
1510ELO
1467Clay ELO
26 yrs · 196 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LWLWLWLLLL
Den Ouden G.
6-3 6-4
Pavlovic L.
Den Ouden G.
662
Pavlovic L.
340

Guy Den Ouden defeated Luka Pavlovic 6-3 6-4 in the Kigali 2 CH semi-final on clay.

Key context

  • Match story: Guy Den Ouden closed it out in two sets, 6–3 6–4.

Head to head

No previous meetings on record.

Serve vs return

This season
Den Ouden G.serving78% hold

wins 62% of points on serve vs Pavlovic L.

Pavlovic L.serving68% hold

wins 57% of points on serve vs Den Ouden G.

Serve advantage — Den Ouden G.

Each player's serve crossed against the other's return, converted to expected hold of serve. Recent completed matches, ATP, WTA & Challenger. About

Statistics

This season
Den Ouden G.Pavlovic L.
1st serve in·Slight edge
61%
53%
1st serve points won·Slight edge
67%
76%
2nd serve points won·Even
50%
49%
Service points won·Even
61%
64%
Return points won·Slight edge
43%
35%
Break points saved·Slight edge
56%
67%
Aces / match·Dominant
2.4
9.5
Double faults / match·Slight edge
3.5
4.2

Averages over each player's completed matches in the selected window (66 vs 76). ATP, WTA & Challenger.

Clutch

Under pressure
Den Ouden G.Pavlovic L.
Clutch Rating·Dominant
26
60
Break points saved·Clear edge
72
93
Break points won·Clear edge
36
24
Deciding sets·Dominant
19
71
Tiebreaks·Dominant
35
91

Performance in the biggest moments — break points, deciding sets and tiebreaks (0–100, higher is better). About

Umpiry Score

Pre-match
Den Ouden G.
6.5
Marginal edgeUmpiry Score
Pavlovic L.
5.0
Heavy underdogUmpiry Score
  • Recent retirement (−1.5)
Form & Matchup
5.1+18 Clay Elo edge
Surface ELO
4.9Clay Elo 1467
4.4Overall Elo 1495
ELO gap
5.6Overall Elo 1510
5.0No prior meetings
H2H
5.0
7.2
Surface form
6.7
0.0
Win streak
Fatigue & Travel
3.4
Minutes 14d
7.4
7.0
3-set count
8.0
Prev. match
7.0
Context
5.0
Defending pts
5.0

The Umpiry Score combines match-context factors — matchup, form, fatigue, travel and motivation — into a single 0–10 score, updated daily. Read how it works.

Freshness

Recent load
Den Ouden G.Pavlovic L.
Freshness·Even
77
77

Den Ouden G.: 3 days rest · 3 matches, 59 games (7d) · Pavlovic L.: 4 days rest · 2 matches, 49 games (7d). Higher means fresher. About

Conditions

Court speed
Fastbig serves, short points
SlowFast
Final
Royer V.[4]
Den Ouden G.
6-26-4
Semi-finals
Royer V.[4]
Houkes M.
7-676-2
Den Ouden G.
Pavlovic L.
6-36-4
Quarter-finals
Houkes M.
Tabur C.
6-27-65
Royer V.[4]
Pennaforti G.
6-37-65
Pavlovic L.
Cecchinato M.
7-636-746-4
Den Ouden G.
Hemery C.[2]
6-736-02-0
R16
Pennaforti G.
Neumayer L.[5]
7-56-4
Cecchinato M.
Michalski D.
6-46-1
Den Ouden G.
Ionel N.
7-56-1
Houkes M.
Marti Pujolras A.
5-76-46-3
Tabur C.
Blancaneaux G.[7]
7-616-3
Royer V.[4]
Agamenone F.
7-637-62
Hemery C.[2]
Denolly C.
6-36-4
Pavlovic L.
Erhard M.
6-46-4
R32
Marti Pujolras A.
De Jong J.[1]
7-53-2
Houkes M.
Sanchez Jover C.
6-36-1
Tabur C.
Neuchrist M.
7-666-4
Blancaneaux G.[7]
Picchione A.
6-36-4
Royer V.[4]
Roca Batalla O.
6-24-66-3
Agamenone F.
Martin A.
7-666-756-3
Pennaforti G.
Schwaerzler J.
6-46-2
Neumayer L.[5]
Chazal M.
6-26-4
Michalski D.
Jianu F.[8]
6-23-66-2
Cecchinato M.
Gakhov I.
7-57-65
Pavlovic L.
Taberner C.[3]
7-646-2
Den Ouden G.
Misolic F.
6-26-2
Hemery C.[2]
Erel Y.
6-37-64
Erhard M.
Janvier M.
6-36-2
Ionel N.
Tomic B.[6]
6-47-69
Denolly C.
Coulibaly E.
6-46-1