Emiliana Arango vs Katarzyna Kawa — Merida Qualifying Round 1

Merida · CHALLENGER · Qualifying Round 1
Emiliana Arango
COL
Emiliana Arango
#96WTA
1624ELO
1576Hard ELO
25 yrs · 172 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LWLLWWWLLL
0 — 0
Sets
Monday, 24 February 2025
hard
Katarzyna Kawa
POL
Katarzyna Kawa
#142WTA
1664ELO
1489Hard ELO
33 yrs · 178 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LLWWWWWWWL
Arango E.
7-5 6-2
Kawa K.
Arango E.
762
Kawa K.
52–

Emiliana Arango defeated Katarzyna Kawa 7-5 6-2 in the Merida qualifying round 1 on hard. The result followed the form book — Emiliana Arango came in ranked #96.

Key context

Head to head

No previous meetings on record.

Serve vs return

This season
Arango E.serving42% hold

wins 47% of points on serve vs Kawa K.

Kawa K.serving44% hold

wins 48% of points on serve vs Arango E.

Baseline battle — serve is shaky, expect plenty of breaks

Each player's serve crossed against the other's return, converted to expected hold of serve. Recent completed matches, ATP, WTA & Challenger. About

Serve & return on hard

Arango E.Kawa K.
0
Serve
—
62
Return
—

Per-surface Serve / Return Rating (0–100, percentile within the hard field, opponent-adjusted over 52 weeks). About

Statistics

This season
Arango E.Kawa K.
1st serve in·Clear edge
70%
58%
1st serve points won·Slight edge
57%
62%
2nd serve points won·Even
44%
45%
Service points won·Even
53%
55%
Return points won·Even
47%
46%
Break points saved·Even
54%
52%
Aces / match·Slight edge
1.0
2.1
Double faults / match·Slight edge
3.0
3.6

Averages over each player's completed matches in the selected window (70 vs 82). ATP, WTA & Challenger.

Clutch

Under pressure
Arango E.Kawa K.
Clutch Rating·Slight edge
57
51
Break points saved·Dominant
56
15
Break points won·Clear edge
81
93
Deciding sets·Clear edge
70
87
Tiebreaks·Even
75
79

Performance in the biggest moments — break points, deciding sets and tiebreaks (0–100, higher is better). About

Umpiry Score

Pre-match
Arango E.
7.1
Strong advantageUmpiry Score
Kawa K.
6.1
Even matchUmpiry Score
Form & Matchup
6.5+87 Hard Elo edge
Surface ELO
3.5Hard Elo 1489
5.2Overall Elo 1624
ELO gap
4.8Overall Elo 1664
5.0No prior meetings
H2H
5.0
7.9
Surface form
6.0
9.05-match win streak
Win streak
Fatigue & Travel
7.0
3-set count
7.0
Context
5.0
Defending pts
5.0

The Umpiry Score combines match-context factors — matchup, form, fatigue, travel and motivation — into a single 0–10 score, updated daily. Read how it works.

Freshness

Recent load
Arango E.Kawa K.
Freshness·Slight edge
92
97

Arango E.: 6 days rest · 1 match, 17 games (7d) · Kawa K.: 8 days rest · 1 match (14d). Higher means fresher. About

Conditions

Court speed
Medium-fastrewards aggression
SlowFast

Draw — qualifying

Q2
Arango E.
Carle M.
6-25-76-2
Jones F.
Kung L.
3-66-36-2
Joint M.
Sierra S.
6-16-1
Jeanjean L.
Starodubtseva Y.
6-16-4
Martic P.
Chang H.
6-46-1
Saville D.
Lepchenko V.
6-26-1
Q1
Carle M.
Rodriguez V.
6-36-2
Arango E.
Kawa K.
7-56-2
Kung L.
Todoni A.
6-37-62
Jones F.
Sanchez A.
6-06-1
Joint M.
Bektas E.
6-26-3
Sierra S.
Fruhvirtova L.
2-67-636-3
Starodubtseva Y.
Pavlou D.
6-46-3
Jeanjean L.
Sharma A.
4-67-56-1
Martic P.
Karatancheva L.
7-56-4
Chang H.
Hibino N.
6-16-4
Saville D.
Perez E.
7-656-1
Lepchenko V.
Strakhova V.
6-36-1