Darja Semenistaja vs Emiliana ArangoBuenos Aires 125 Round of 16

Buenos Aires 125 · WTA · Round of 16
#103WTA
1654ELO
1636Clay ELO
23 yrs · 169 cm · Left-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LLLLWWLWLW
2 — 1
Sets
Monday, 25 November 2024
clay
#96WTA
1624ELO
1553Clay ELO
25 yrs · 172 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LWLLWWWLLL
Semenistaja D.
6-3 5-7 6-4
Arango E.
Semenistaja D.
6562
Arango E.
3741

Darja Semenistaja defeated Emiliana Arango 6-3 5-7 6-4 in the Buenos Aires 125 round of 16 on clay. The upset overturned the form book — Emiliana Arango came in ranked #96.

Key context

Head to head

No previous meetings on record.

Serve vs return

This season
Semenistaja D.serving57% hold

wins 53% of points on serve vs Arango E.

Arango E.serving55% hold

wins 52% of points on serve vs Semenistaja D.

Baseline battle — serve is shaky, expect plenty of breaks

Each player's serve crossed against the other's return, converted to expected hold of serve. Recent completed matches, ATP, WTA & Challenger. About

Statistics

This season
1st serve in·Even
65%
69%
1st serve points won·Even
60%
57%
2nd serve points won·Slight edge
48%
42%
Service points won·Even
55%
53%
Return points won·Even
45%
46%
Break points saved·Even
54%
53%
Aces / match·Slight edge
1.8
1.0
Double faults / match·Dominant
1.5
3.6

Averages over each player's completed matches in the selected window (165 vs 126). ATP, WTA & Challenger.

Clutch

Under pressure
Clutch Rating·Clear edge
76
57
Break points saved·Even
52
56
Break points won·Clear edge
96
81
Deciding sets·Clear edge
94
70
Tiebreaks·Clear edge
98
75

Performance in the biggest moments — break points, deciding sets and tiebreaks (0–100, higher is better). About

Umpiry Score

Pre-match
5.0
Heavy underdogUmpiry Score
  • Recent retirement (−1.5)
6.0
Even matchUmpiry Score
Form & Matchup
5.5+83 Clay Elo edge
Surface ELO
4.5Clay Elo 1553
5.0Overall Elo 1654
ELO gap
5.0Overall Elo 1624
5.0No prior meetings
H2H
5.0
6.8
Surface form
5.7
Fatigue & Travel
3-set count
7.0
Context
5.0
Defending pts
5.0

The Umpiry Score combines match-context factors — matchup, form, fatigue, travel and motivation — into a single 0–10 score, updated daily. Read how it works.

Freshness

Recent load
Freshness·Even
94
92

Semenistaja D.: 8 days rest · 1 match (14d) · Arango E.: 6 days rest · 1 match, 17 games (7d). Higher means fresher. About

Conditions

Court speed
Slowlow bounce, long rallies
SlowFast