Emiliana Arango vs Maria Lourdes CarleMerida Qualifying Round 2

Merida · CHALLENGER · Qualifying Round 2
#97WTA
1624ELO
1576Hard ELO
25 yrs · 172 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LWLLWWWLLL
2 — 1
Sets
Monday, 24 February 2025
hard
#232WTA
1484ELO
1459Hard ELO
26 yrs · 166 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LWLWLWWLLW
Arango E.
6-2 5-7 6-2
Carle M.
Arango E.
6562
Carle M.
2721

Emiliana Arango defeated Maria Lourdes Carle 6-2 5-7 6-2 in the Merida qualifying round 2 on hard. The result followed the form book — Emiliana Arango came in ranked #97, leading the head-to-head 2–0. Emiliana Arango extended the head-to-head to 3–0.

Key context

  • Match story: Emiliana Arango closed it out in three sets, 6–2 5–7 6–2.

Head to head

20
DateTournamentRoundSurfaceWinnerScore
2026-03-30BogotaR32clayEmiliana Arango1-6 6-2 6-0
2025-02-24MeridaR32hardEmiliana Arango6-2 6-3

Serve vs return

This season
Arango E.serving37% hold

wins 45% of points on serve vs Carle M.

Carle M.serving37% hold

wins 45% of points on serve vs Arango E.

Baseline battle — serve is shaky, expect plenty of breaks

Each player's serve crossed against the other's return, converted to expected hold of serve. Recent completed matches, ATP, WTA & Challenger. About

Serve & return on hard

Arango E.Carle M.
0
Serve
62
Return

Per-surface Serve / Return Rating (0–100, percentile within the hard field, opponent-adjusted over 52 weeks). About

Statistics

This season
1st serve in·Even
70%
67%
1st serve points won·Even
57%
58%
2nd serve points won·Even
44%
40%
Service points won·Even
53%
52%
Return points won·Even
47%
48%
Break points saved·Even
55%
51%
Aces / match·Even
1.0
0.8
Double faults / match·Dominant
3.0
5.2

Averages over each player's completed matches in the selected window (70 vs 80). ATP, WTA & Challenger.

Clutch

Under pressure
Clutch Rating·Dominant
57
27
Break points saved·Dominant
56
26
Break points won·Clear edge
81
97
Deciding sets·Clear edge
70
56
Tiebreaks·Dominant
75
5

Performance in the biggest moments — break points, deciding sets and tiebreaks (0–100, higher is better). About

Umpiry Score

Pre-match
7.3
Strong advantageUmpiry Score
5.5
Slight disadvantageUmpiry Score
Form & Matchup
6.5+117 Hard Elo edge
Surface ELO
3.5Hard Elo 1459
6.8Overall Elo 1624
ELO gap
3.2Overall Elo 1484
5.0
H2H
5.0
7.9
Surface form
3.9
9.05-match win streak
Win streak
0.0Lost last 2
Fatigue & Travel
7.0
3-set count
Context
5.0
Defending pts
5.0

The Umpiry Score combines match-context factors — matchup, form, fatigue, travel and motivation — into a single 0–10 score, updated daily. Read how it works.

Freshness

Recent load
Freshness·Even
88
86

Arango E.: 4 days rest · 2 matches, 33 games (7d) · Carle M.: 4 days rest · 2 matches, 38 games (7d). Higher means fresher. About

Conditions

Court speed
Medium-fastrewards aggression
SlowFast