Emiliana Arango vs Francesca JonesCancun 125 Semi-final

Cancun 125 · CHALLENGER · Semi-final
#96WTA
1624ELO
1576Hard ELO
25 yrs · 172 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LWLLWWWLLL
2 — 1
Sets
Monday, 10 February 2025
hard
#123WTA
1619ELO
1581Hard ELO
25 yrs · 173 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
WLWLLLLLWL
Arango E.
3-6 6-1 7-5
Jones F.
Arango E.
3672
Jones F.
6151

Emiliana Arango defeated Francesca Jones 3-6 6-1 7-5 in the Cancun 125 semi-final on hard. The result followed the form book — Emiliana Arango came in ranked #96, leading the head-to-head 1–0. Emiliana Arango extended the head-to-head to 2–0.

Key context

Head to head

10
DateTournamentRoundSurfaceWinnerScore
2025-02-24MeridaR16hardEmiliana Arango3-6 6-3 3-4 RET

Serve vs return

This season
Arango E.serving44% hold

wins 48% of points on serve vs Jones F.

Jones F.serving52% hold

wins 51% of points on serve vs Arango E.

Baseline battle — serve is shaky, expect plenty of breaks

Each player's serve crossed against the other's return, converted to expected hold of serve. Recent completed matches, ATP, WTA & Challenger. About

Serve & return on hard

Arango E.Jones F.
0
Serve
3
62
Return
27

Per-surface Serve / Return Rating (0–100, percentile within the hard field, opponent-adjusted over 52 weeks). About

Statistics

This season
1st serve in·Even
69%
65%
1st serve points won·Slight edge
57%
64%
2nd serve points won·Even
44%
47%
Service points won·Slight edge
53%
58%
Return points won·Even
47%
45%
Break points saved·Even
54%
57%
Aces / match·Slight edge
1.0
2.0
Double faults / match·Clear edge
3.0
3.9

Averages over each player's completed matches in the selected window (70 vs 80). ATP, WTA & Challenger.

Clutch

Under pressure
Clutch Rating·Clear edge
57
78
Break points saved·Clear edge
56
80
Break points won·Clear edge
81
96
Deciding sets·Even
70
74
Tiebreaks·Clear edge
75
89

Performance in the biggest moments — break points, deciding sets and tiebreaks (0–100, higher is better). About

Umpiry Score

Pre-match
5.7
Slight disadvantageUmpiry Score
6.6
Marginal edgeUmpiry Score
Form & Matchup
4.7Hard Elo 1576
Surface ELO
5.3+5 Hard Elo edge
4.6Overall Elo 1624
ELO gap
5.4Overall Elo 1619
5.0
H2H
5.0
3.5
Surface form
6.5
0.0
Win streak
7.03-match win streak
Fatigue & Travel
7.0
3-set count
7.0
Context
5.0
Defending pts
5.0

The Umpiry Score combines match-context factors — matchup, form, fatigue, travel and motivation — into a single 0–10 score, updated daily. Read how it works.

Freshness

Recent load
Freshness·Clear edge
92
70

Arango E.: 6 days rest · 1 match, 17 games (7d) · Jones F.: 1 day rest · 3 matches, 69 games (7d). Higher means fresher. About

Conditions

Court speed
Slowlow bounce, long rallies
SlowFast