Sofia Kenin vs Daria Kasatkina — Tokyo Quarter-final

Tokyo · WTA · Quarter-final
USA
Sofia Kenin
#87WTA
1723ELO
1673Hard ELO
27 yrs · 170 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LLLLWLWLLL
2 — 0
Sets
Monday, 21 October 2024
hard
AUS
Daria Kasatkina
[3]
#53WTA
1823ELO
1771Hard ELO
29 yrs · 170 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LWWLWWWWWW

Sofia Kenin defeated Daria Kasatkina 6-3 6-4 in the Tokyo quarter-final on hard. The upset overturned the form book — Daria Kasatkina came in ranked #53, defending last year's quarter-final. Sofia Kenin extended the head-to-head to 4–3.

Key context

  • Match story: Sofia Kenin closed it out in two sets, 6–3 6–4.

Umpiry Score

Pre-match
Kenin S.
4.9
Heavy underdogUmpiry Score
Kasatkina D.
6.4
Marginal edgeUmpiry Score
  • Recent retirement (−1.5)
Form & Matchup
4.0Hard Elo 1673
Surface ELO
6.0+98 Hard Elo edge
4.2Overall Elo 1723
ELO gap
5.8Overall Elo 1823
0.0
H2H
10.0
2.0
Surface form
8.3
0.0Lost last 3
Win streak
7.04-match win streak
Fatigue & Travel
7.7
Minutes 14d
3.7
4.0
3-set count
0.0
8.0
Prev. match
Context
5.0
Defending pts
7.0

The Umpiry Score combines match-context factors — matchup, form, fatigue, travel and motivation — into a single 0–10 score, updated daily. Read how it works.

Kenin S.
662
Kasatkina D.
340

Conditions

Court speed
Medium-fastrewards aggression
1.13
SlowFast
Weather
18°CMainly clear
Wind 23 km/hHumidity 54%

Head to head

3–3
DateTournamentRoundSurfaceWinnerScore
2025-03-31CharlestonR16claySofia Kenin6-3 7-6(7)
2025-03-05Indian WellsR64hardDaria Kasatkina3-6 7-5 6-4
2023-08-28US OpenR64hardDaria Kasatkina2-6 6-4 6-4
2022-01-10SydneyR32hardDaria Kasatkina6-4 6-0
2019-02-18DubaiR32hardSofia Kenin6-3 2-6 6-4
2018-03-19MiamiR64hardSofia Kenin3-6 6-2 6-2

Statistics

Recent form
Kenin S.Kasatkina D.
67%1st serve in+2%69%
62%1st serve points won+5%57%
45%2nd serve points won+4%41%
56%Service points won+4%52%
39%Return points won+11%50%
54%Break points saved+1%53%
2Aces / match+0.21.8
5.3Double faults / match+16.3

Averages from each player's recent completed matches (20 vs 20). ATP, WTA & Challenger.

Draw

Final
Zheng Q.[1]
Kenin S.
7-656-3
Semi-finals
Kenin S.
Boulter K.[9]
6-46-4
Zheng Q.[1]
Shnaider D.[6]
7-656-3
Quarter-finals
Shnaider D.[6]
Ishii S.
W/O
Zheng Q.[1]
Fernandez L.[8]
6-01-66-3
Kenin S.
Kasatkina D.[3]
6-36-4
Boulter K.[9]
Andreescu B.
6-26-1
R16
Shnaider D.[6]
Tomova V.
6-26-2
Andreescu B.
Haddad Maia B.[2]
3-0
Kenin S.
Tauson C.
6-786-47-66
Ishii S.
Sonmez Z.
4-66-26-3
Boulter K.[9]
Okamura K.
6-16-2
Zheng Q.[1]
Uchijima M.
7-56-0
Fernandez L.[8]
Gracheva V.
6-03-67-5
Kasatkina D.[3]
Kessler M.
3-66-36-1
R32
Gracheva V.
Hontama M.
6-17-64
Sonmez Z.
Frech M.[7]
1-66-46-3
Andreescu B.
Yamaguchi M.
7-56-3
Kessler M.
Cocciaretto E.
6-36-3
Okamura K.
Baptiste H.
7-646-3
Tomova V.
Kudermetova V.
7-636-3
Kenin S.
Wang X.[10]
6-16-4
Fernandez L.[8]
Sasnovich A.
5-76-25-2
Tauson C.
Hibino N.
6-26-3
Ishii S.
Saito S.
6-16-1
Boulter K.[9]
Hon P.
6-16-4
Uchijima M.
Stojsavljevic M.
6-46-777-66