Daria Kasatkina vs Sorana CirsteaAbu Dhabi Quarter-final

Abu Dhabi · WTA · Quarter-final
#63WTA
1795ELO
1757Hard ELO
29 yrs · 170 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LWWLLLLWWL
2 — 0
Sets
Monday, 5 February 2024
hard
#17WTA
1957ELO
1914Hard ELO
$1.5MYTD
$12MCAREER
36 yrs · 176 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LWWLWLWWWW
Kasatkina D.
6-2 6-0
Cirstea S.
Kasatkina D.
662
Cirstea S.
200

Daria Kasatkina defeated Sorana Cirstea 6-2 6-0 in the Abu Dhabi quarter-final on hard. The upset overturned the form book — Sorana Cirstea came in ranked #17, leading the head-to-head 3–1, defending last year's round of 32. Daria Kasatkina narrowed the head-to-head to 3–2.

Key context

Head to head

13
DateTournamentRoundSurfaceWinnerScore
2025-02-17DubaiR64hardSorana Cirstea6-1 6-4
2024-03-18MiamiR32hardSorana Cirstea7-5 6-2
2021-05-31Roland GarrosR32claySorana Cirstea6-3 6-2
2018-05-07MadridR32clayDaria Kasatkina6-3 6-1

Serve vs return

This season
Kasatkina D.serving64% hold

wins 56% of points on serve vs Cirstea S.

Cirstea S.serving69% hold

wins 58% of points on serve vs Kasatkina D.

Baseline battle — serve is shaky, expect plenty of breaks

Each player's serve crossed against the other's return, converted to expected hold of serve. Recent completed matches, ATP, WTA & Challenger. About

Serve & return on hard

Kasatkina D.Cirstea S.
0
Serve
67
95
Return
70

Per-surface Serve / Return Rating (0–100, percentile within the hard field, opponent-adjusted over 52 weeks). About

Statistics

This season
1st serve in·Slight edge
67%
60%
1st serve points won·Slight edge
60%
67%
2nd serve points won·Slight edge
42%
49%
Service points won·Slight edge
54%
60%
Return points won·Even
48%
44%
Break points saved·Even
53%
56%
Aces / match·Clear edge
1.7
4.0
Double faults / match·Dominant
5.4
2.1

Averages over each player's completed matches in the selected window (120 vs 105). ATP, WTA & Challenger.

Clutch

Under pressure
Clutch Rating·Slight edge
78
85
Break points saved·Slight edge
80
86
Break points won·Slight edge
100
92
Deciding sets·Slight edge
93
85
Tiebreaks·Dominant
47
96

Performance in the biggest moments — break points, deciding sets and tiebreaks (0–100, higher is better). About

Umpiry Score

Pre-match
6.6
Marginal edgeUmpiry Score
6.1
Even matchUmpiry Score
Form & Matchup
3.3Hard Elo 1757
Surface ELO
6.7+157 Hard Elo edge
3.5Overall Elo 1795
ELO gap
6.5Overall Elo 1957
5.0
H2H
5.0
6.7
Surface form
1.6
0.0
Win streak
0.0Lost last 6
Fatigue & Travel
8.0
Prev. match
8.0
Context
7.0
Defending pts
6.0

The Umpiry Score combines match-context factors — matchup, form, fatigue, travel and motivation — into a single 0–10 score, updated daily. Read how it works.

Freshness

Recent load
Freshness·Even
92
90

Kasatkina D.: 10 days rest · 3 matches (14d) · Cirstea S.: 9 days rest · 3 matches (14d). Higher means fresher. About

Conditions

Court speed
Mediumbalanced pace
SlowFast
Weather
23°COvercast
Wind 27 km/hHumidity 44%