Sorana Cirstea vs Daria KasatkinaMiami Round of 32

Miami · WTA · Round of 32
#17WTA
1957ELO
1914Hard ELO
$1.5MYTD
$12MCAREER
36 yrs · 176 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LWWLWLWWWW
2 — 0
Sets
Monday, 18 March 2024
hard
#63WTA
1795ELO
1757Hard ELO
29 yrs · 170 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LWWLLLLWWL
Cirstea S.
7-5 6-2
Kasatkina D.
Cirstea S.
762
Kasatkina D.
520

Sorana Cirstea defeated Daria Kasatkina 7-5 6-2 in the Miami round of 32 on hard. The result followed the form book — Sorana Cirstea came in ranked #17, defending last year's semi-final. Sorana Cirstea extended the head-to-head to 3–2.

Key context

Head to head

22
DateTournamentRoundSurfaceWinnerScore
2025-02-17DubaiR64hardSorana Cirstea6-1 6-4
2024-02-05Abu DhabiQFhardDaria Kasatkina6-2 6-0
2021-05-31Roland GarrosR32claySorana Cirstea6-3 6-2
2018-05-07MadridR32clayDaria Kasatkina6-3 6-1

Serve vs return

This season
Cirstea S.serving67% hold

wins 57% of points on serve vs Kasatkina D.

Kasatkina D.serving64% hold

wins 56% of points on serve vs Cirstea S.

Baseline battle — serve is shaky, expect plenty of breaks

Each player's serve crossed against the other's return, converted to expected hold of serve. Recent completed matches, ATP, WTA & Challenger. About

Serve & return on hard

Cirstea S.Kasatkina D.
67
Serve
0
70
Return
95

Per-surface Serve / Return Rating (0–100, percentile within the hard field, opponent-adjusted over 52 weeks). About

Statistics

This season
1st serve in·Slight edge
60%
67%
1st serve points won·Slight edge
67%
60%
2nd serve points won·Slight edge
49%
42%
Service points won·Slight edge
59%
54%
Return points won·Even
44%
48%
Break points saved·Even
56%
53%
Aces / match·Clear edge
3.9
1.7
Double faults / match·Dominant
2.1
5.4

Averages over each player's completed matches in the selected window (105 vs 120). ATP, WTA & Challenger.

Clutch

Under pressure
Clutch Rating·Slight edge
85
78
Break points saved·Slight edge
86
80
Break points won·Slight edge
92
100
Deciding sets·Slight edge
85
93
Tiebreaks·Dominant
96
47

Performance in the biggest moments — break points, deciding sets and tiebreaks (0–100, higher is better). About

Umpiry Score

Pre-match
7.1
Strong advantageUmpiry Score
6.7
Slight advantageUmpiry Score
Form & Matchup
6.7+157 Hard Elo edge
Surface ELO
3.3Hard Elo 1757
6.5Overall Elo 1957
ELO gap
3.5Overall Elo 1795
0.0
H2H
10.0
5.8
Surface form
5.9
0.0
Win streak
Fatigue & Travel
9.2
Minutes 14d
6.3
3-set count
4.0
9.0
Prev. match
7.0
4.9
Country comfort
5.5
Context
8.5
Defending pts
6.0

The Umpiry Score combines match-context factors — matchup, form, fatigue, travel and motivation — into a single 0–10 score, updated daily. Read how it works.

Freshness

Recent load
Freshness·Even
90
92

Cirstea S.: 9 days rest · 3 matches (14d) · Kasatkina D.: 10 days rest · 3 matches (14d). Higher means fresher. About

Conditions

Court speed
Mediumbalanced pace
SlowFast
Weather
30°CDrizzle
Wind 16 km/hHumidity 61%

Draw