

Novak Djokovic defeated Alex De Minaur 7-5 6-4 in the Monte Carlo Masters quarter-final on clay. The upset overturned the form book — Alex De Minaur came in ranked #5, defending last year's round of 32. Novak Djokovic extended the head-to-head to 3–2.
| Date | Tournament | Round | Surface | Winner | Score |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025-06-30 | Wimbledon | R16 | grass | Novak Djokovic | 1-6 6-4 6-4 6-4 |
| 2024-01-03 | United Cup | QF | hard | Alex De Minaur | 6-4 6-4 |
| 2024-01-01 | United Cup | QF | hard | Alex De Minaur | 6-4 6-4 |
| 2023-01-16 | Australian Open | R16 | hard | Novak Djokovic | 6-2 6-1 6-2 |
Averages over each player's completed matches in the selected window (103 vs 164). ATP, WTA & Challenger.
Performance in the biggest moments — break points, deciding sets and tiebreaks (0–100, higher is better). About
Djokovic N.: 16 days rest · De Minaur A.: 20 days rest. Higher means fresher. About
Each player's serve crossed against the other's return, converted to expected hold of serve. Recent completed matches, ATP, WTA & Challenger. About
Per-surface Serve / Return Rating (0–100, percentile within the clay field, opponent-adjusted over 52 weeks). About