Alex De Minaur vs Alexander ZverevUnited Cup Semi-final

United Cup · ATP · Semi-final
#6ATP
1961ELO
1935Hard ELO
$2.4MYTD
$25MCAREER
27 yrs · 183 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LWWWLWWLWW
2 — 1
Sets
Monday, 1 January 2024
hard
#3ATP
2100ELO
2042Hard ELO
$6.5MYTD
$66MCAREER
29 yrs · 198 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LWWWWWWLWW
De Minaur A.
5-7 6-3 6-4
Zverev A.
De Minaur A.
5662
Zverev A.
7341

Alex De Minaur defeated Alexander Zverev 5-7 6-3 6-4 in the United Cup semi-final on hard. The upset overturned the form book — Alexander Zverev came in ranked #3, leading the head-to-head 8–2, defending last year's round-robin. Alex De Minaur narrowed the head-to-head to 8–3.

Key context

Head to head

28
DateTournamentRoundSurfaceWinnerScore
2025-09-19Laver CupRRhardAlex De Minaur6-1 6-4
2024-05-27Roland GarrosQFclayAlexander Zverev6-4 7-6(5) 6-4
2024-03-04Indian Wells MastersR16hardAlexander Zverev5-7 6-2 6-3
2022-05-09Rome MastersR16clayAlexander Zverev6-3 7-6(5)
2021-10-25ViennaR16hardAlexander Zverev6-2 3-6 6-2
2020-01-06Atp CupRRhardAlex De Minaur4-6 7-6(3) 6-2
2019-02-25AcapulcoQFhardAlexander Zverev6-4 6-4
2018-10-08Shanghai MastersR16hardAlexander Zverev6-1 6-4
2018-07-30WashingtonFhardAlexander Zverev6-2 6-4
2018-02-02Davis Cup WG R1: AUS vs GERRRhardAlexander Zverev7-5 4-6 4-6 6-3 7-6(4)

Serve vs return

This season
De Minaur A.serving85% hold

wins 66% of points on serve vs Zverev A.

Zverev A.serving87% hold

wins 67% of points on serve vs De Minaur A.

Serve-dominated — both hold easily, expect tiebreaks

Each player's serve crossed against the other's return, converted to expected hold of serve. Recent completed matches, ATP, WTA & Challenger. About

Serve & return on hard

De Minaur A.Zverev A.
48
Serve
71
80
Return
42

Per-surface Serve / Return Rating (0–100, percentile within the hard field, opponent-adjusted over 52 weeks). About

Statistics

This season
1st serve in·Clear edge
56%
72%
1st serve points won·Even
73%
75%
2nd serve points won·Even
56%
54%
Service points won·Even
65%
69%
Return points won·Even
41%
38%
Break points saved·Even
62%
64%
Aces / match·Dominant
4.3
8.5
Double faults / match·Slight edge
2.6
1.9

Averages over each player's completed matches in the selected window (166 vs 199). ATP, WTA & Challenger.

Clutch

Under pressure
Clutch Rating·Even
95
94
Break points saved·Even
99
100
Break points won·Slight edge
97
90
Deciding sets·Even
97
99
Tiebreaks·Even
99
100

Performance in the biggest moments — break points, deciding sets and tiebreaks (0–100, higher is better). About

Umpiry Score

Pre-match
4.9
Heavy underdogUmpiry Score
  • Extended break: 36 days (−0.7)
6.0
Even matchUmpiry Score
  • Extended break: 49 days (−0.7)
Form & Matchup
3.9Hard Elo 1935
Surface ELO
6.1+106 Hard Elo edge
3.7Overall Elo 1961
ELO gap
6.3Overall Elo 2100
0.0
H2H
10.0
6.9
Surface form
6.6
0.0
Win streak
Fatigue & Travel
7.8
Country comfort
5.8
Context
5.0
Defending pts
5.0

The Umpiry Score combines match-context factors — matchup, form, fatigue, travel and motivation — into a single 0–10 score, updated daily. Read how it works.

Freshness

Recent load
Freshness·Dominant
77
52

De Minaur A.: 6 days rest · 1 match, 34 games (7d) · Zverev A.: 2 days rest · 3 matches, 103 games (7d). Higher means fresher. About

Conditions

Court speed
Fastbig serves, short points
SlowFast
Weather
23°CDrizzle
Wind 22 km/hHumidity 72%