Alex De Minaur vs Alejandro Davidovich FokinaCanada Masters Semi-final

Canada Masters · ATP · Semi-final
#6ATP
1961ELO
1935Hard ELO
$2.4MYTD
$25MCAREER
27 yrs · 183 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LWWWLWWLWW
2 — 0
Sets
Monday, 7 August 2023
hard
#23ATP
1893ELO
1842Hard ELO
$926kYTD
$12MCAREER
27 yrs · 183 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LWWWWWWWLW
De Minaur A.
6-1 6-3
Davidovich Fokina A.
De Minaur A.
662
Davidovich Fokina A.
130

Alex De Minaur defeated Alejandro Davidovich Fokina 6-1 6-3 in the Canada Masters semi-final on hard. The result followed the form book — Alex De Minaur came in ranked #6, leading the head-to-head 3–2, defending last year's round of 16. Alex De Minaur extended the head-to-head to 4–2.

Key context

Head to head

32
DateTournamentRoundSurfaceWinnerScore
2026-05-20HamburgR16clayAlex De Minaur2-6 6-4 4-6
2025-07-21WashingtonFhardAlex De Minaur5-7 6-1 7-6(3)
2022-06-13Queen's ClubR16grassAlejandro Davidovich Fokina4-6 6-4 7-5
2021-04-12Monte Carlo MastersR64clayAlejandro Davidovich Fokina6-4 7-6(3)
2019-11-05NextGen FinalsRRhardAlex De Minaur4-2 3-4(5) 4-1 4-1

Serve vs return

This season
De Minaur A.serving85% hold

wins 66% of points on serve vs Davidovich Fokina A.

Davidovich Fokina A.serving76% hold

wins 61% of points on serve vs De Minaur A.

Serve advantage — De Minaur A.

Each player's serve crossed against the other's return, converted to expected hold of serve. Recent completed matches, ATP, WTA & Challenger. About

Serve & return on hard

De Minaur A.Davidovich Fokina A.
48
Serve
40
80
Return
53

Per-surface Serve / Return Rating (0–100, percentile within the hard field, opponent-adjusted over 52 weeks). About

Statistics

This season
1st serve in·Slight edge
56%
67%
1st serve points won·Even
73%
69%
2nd serve points won·Even
55%
53%
Service points won·Even
65%
63%
Return points won·Even
41%
38%
Break points saved·Even
61%
64%
Aces / match·Even
4.2
3.9
Double faults / match·Slight edge
2.5
2.0

Averages over each player's completed matches in the selected window (200 vs 187). ATP, WTA & Challenger.

Clutch

Under pressure
Clutch Rating·Even
95
91
Break points saved·Even
99
99
Break points won·Even
97
95
Deciding sets·Slight edge
97
91
Tiebreaks·Clear edge
99
85

Performance in the biggest moments — break points, deciding sets and tiebreaks (0–100, higher is better). About

Umpiry Score

Pre-match
7.2
Strong advantageUmpiry Score
6.0
Even matchUmpiry Score
Form & Matchup
6.4+93 Hard Elo edge
Surface ELO
3.6Hard Elo 1842
6.2Overall Elo 1961
ELO gap
3.8Overall Elo 1893
5.0
H2H
5.0
6.7
Surface form
5.7
0.0
Win streak
0.0
Fatigue & Travel
1.9
Minutes 14d
6.9
4.0
3-set count
4.0
7.0
Prev. match
8.0
Surface transition
6.0
Context
6.0
Defending pts
6.0

The Umpiry Score combines match-context factors — matchup, form, fatigue, travel and motivation — into a single 0–10 score, updated daily. Read how it works.

Freshness

Recent load
Freshness·Even
77
75

De Minaur A.: 6 days rest · 1 match, 34 games (7d) · Davidovich Fokina A.: 7 days rest · 1 match, 55 games (7d). Higher means fresher. About

Conditions

Court speed
Medium-fastrewards aggression
SlowFast
Weather
24°CPartly cloudy
Wind 19 km/hHumidity 80%
Semi-finals
Sinner J.[7]
Paul T.[12]
6-46-4
De Minaur A.
Davidovich Fokina A.
6-16-3