Alex De Minaur vs Alejandro Davidovich FokinaWashington Final

Washington · ATP · Final
#6ATP
1961ELO
1935Hard ELO
$2.4MYTD
$25MCAREER
27 yrs · 183 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LWWWLWWLWW
2 — 1
Sets
Monday, 21 July 2025
hard
#23ATP
1893ELO
1842Hard ELO
$926kYTD
$12MCAREER
27 yrs · 183 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LWWWWWWWLW
De Minaur A.
5-7 6-1 7-6
Davidovich Fokina A.
De Minaur A.
56772
Davidovich Fokina A.
71631

Alex De Minaur defeated Alejandro Davidovich Fokina 5-7 6-1 7-6 in the Washington final on hard. The result followed the form book — Alex De Minaur came in ranked #6, leading the head-to-head 3–2. Alex De Minaur extended the head-to-head to 4–2.

Key context

Head to head

32
DateTournamentRoundSurfaceWinnerScore
2026-05-20HamburgR16clayAlex De Minaur2-6 6-4 4-6
2023-08-07Canada MastersSFhardAlex De Minaur6-1 6-3
2022-06-13Queen's ClubR16grassAlejandro Davidovich Fokina4-6 6-4 7-5
2021-04-12Monte Carlo MastersR64clayAlejandro Davidovich Fokina6-4 7-6(3)
2019-11-05NextGen FinalsRRhardAlex De Minaur4-2 3-4(5) 4-1 4-1

Serve vs return

This season
De Minaur A.serving86% hold

wins 67% of points on serve vs Davidovich Fokina A.

Davidovich Fokina A.serving80% hold

wins 63% of points on serve vs De Minaur A.

Serve advantage — De Minaur A.

Each player's serve crossed against the other's return, converted to expected hold of serve. Recent completed matches, ATP, WTA & Challenger. About

Serve & return on hard

De Minaur A.Davidovich Fokina A.
48
Serve
40
80
Return
53

Per-surface Serve / Return Rating (0–100, percentile within the hard field, opponent-adjusted over 52 weeks). About

Statistics

This season
1st serve in·Slight edge
56%
67%
1st serve points won·Even
73%
69%
2nd serve points won·Slight edge
57%
52%
Service points won·Even
66%
64%
Return points won·Even
40%
38%
Break points saved·Even
64%
66%
Aces / match·Even
4.0
3.8
Double faults / match·Slight edge
2.4
2.0

Averages over each player's completed matches in the selected window (96 vs 85). ATP, WTA & Challenger.

Clutch

Under pressure
Clutch Rating·Even
95
91
Break points saved·Even
99
99
Break points won·Even
97
95
Deciding sets·Slight edge
97
91
Tiebreaks·Clear edge
99
85

Performance in the biggest moments — break points, deciding sets and tiebreaks (0–100, higher is better). About

Umpiry Score

Pre-match
7.3
Strong advantageUmpiry Score
6.0
Even matchUmpiry Score
Form & Matchup
6.4+93 Hard Elo edge
Surface ELO
3.6Hard Elo 1842
6.2Overall Elo 1961
ELO gap
3.8Overall Elo 1893
10.0
H2H
0.0
6.4
Surface form
5.1
0.0
Win streak
0.0
Fatigue & Travel
Minutes 14d
9.1
7.0
Prev. match
9.0
5.3
Country comfort
4.3
7.0
Surface transition
Context
5.0
Defending pts
6.0

The Umpiry Score combines match-context factors — matchup, form, fatigue, travel and motivation — into a single 0–10 score, updated daily. Read how it works.

Freshness

Recent load
Freshness·Slight edge
69
64

De Minaur A.: 4 days rest · 2 matches, 72 games (7d) · Davidovich Fokina A.: 5 days rest · 2 matches, 85 games (7d). Higher means fresher. About

Conditions

Court speed
Fastbig serves, short points
SlowFast
Weather
27°CDrizzle
Wind 0 km/hHumidity 65%