Alejandro Davidovich Fokina vs Alex De MinaurHamburg Round of 16

Hamburg · ATP · Round of 16
#23ATP
1893ELO
1813Clay ELO
$926kYTD
$12MCAREER
27 yrs · 183 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LWWWWWWWLW
1 — 2
Sets
Wednesday, 20 May 2026 ·
clay
#6ATP
1961ELO
1869Clay ELO
$2.4MYTD
$25MCAREER
27 yrs · 183 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LWWWLWWLWW
Davidovich Fokina A.
2-6 6-4 4-6
De Minaur A.
Davidovich Fokina A.
2641
De Minaur A.
6462

Alex De Minaur defeated Alejandro Davidovich Fokina 6-2 4-6 6-4 in the Hamburg round of 16 on clay. The result followed the form book — Alex De Minaur came in ranked #6, leading the head-to-head 3–2. Alex De Minaur extended the head-to-head to 4–2.

Key context

  • Match story: Alex De Minaur closed it out in three sets, 6–2 4–6 6–4.

Head to head

23
DateTournamentRoundSurfaceWinnerScore
2025-07-21WashingtonFhardAlex De Minaur5-7 6-1 7-6(3)
2023-08-07Canada MastersSFhardAlex De Minaur6-1 6-3
2022-06-13Queen's ClubR16grassAlejandro Davidovich Fokina4-6 6-4 7-5
2021-04-12Monte Carlo MastersR64clayAlejandro Davidovich Fokina6-4 7-6(3)
2019-11-05NextGen FinalsRRhardAlex De Minaur4-2 3-4(5) 4-1 4-1

Serve vs return

This season
Davidovich Fokina A.serving81% hold

wins 64% of points on serve vs De Minaur A.

De Minaur A.serving83% hold

wins 65% of points on serve vs Davidovich Fokina A.

Even serve battle

Each player's serve crossed against the other's return, converted to expected hold of serve. Recent completed matches, ATP, WTA & Challenger. About

Serve & return on clay

Davidovich Fokina A.De Minaur A.
Serve
Return
39

Per-surface Serve / Return Rating (0–100, percentile within the clay field, opponent-adjusted over 52 weeks). About

Statistics

This season
1st serve in·Clear edge
70%
58%
1st serve points won·Even
71%
72%
2nd serve points won·Even
54%
55%
Service points won·Even
66%
65%
Return points won·Even
36%
38%
Break points saved·Even
63%
67%
Aces / match·Even
4.6
4.2
Double faults / match·Clear edge
1.6
2.7

Averages over each player's completed matches in the selected window (18 vs 23). ATP, WTA & Challenger.

Clutch

Under pressure
Clutch Rating·Even
91
95
Break points saved·Even
99
99
Break points won·Even
95
97
Deciding sets·Slight edge
91
97
Tiebreaks·Clear edge
85
99

Performance in the biggest moments — break points, deciding sets and tiebreaks (0–100, higher is better). About

Umpiry Score

Pre-match
6.3
Marginal edgeUmpiry Score
6.5
Marginal edgeUmpiry Score
Form & Matchup
4.4Clay Elo 1813
Surface ELO
5.6+56 Clay Elo edge
3.9Overall Elo 1893
ELO gap
6.1Overall Elo 1961
5.0
H2H
5.0
5.3
Surface form
4.8
Fatigue & Travel
3-set count
4.0
Context
6.0
Defending pts
5.0

The Umpiry Score combines match-context factors — matchup, form, fatigue, travel and motivation — into a single 0–10 score, updated daily. Read how it works.

Freshness

Recent load
Freshness·Even
70
73

Davidovich Fokina A.: 6 days rest · 1 match, 55 games (7d) · De Minaur A.: 5 days rest · 2 matches, 72 games (7d). Higher means fresher. About

Conditions

Court speed
Slowlow bounce, long rallies
SlowFast
Weather
17°CDrizzle
Wind 13 km/hHumidity 65%