Alejandro Davidovich Fokina defeated Alex De Minaur 4-6 6-4 7-5 in the Queen's Club round of 16 on grass. The upset overturned the form book — Alex De Minaur came in ranked #5, leading the head-to-head 4–1, defending last year's semi-final, but Alejandro Davidovich Fokina had been the form player, winning 7 of their last 8 on grass. Alejandro Davidovich Fokina narrowed the head-to-head to 4–2.
| Date | Tournament | Round | Surface | Winner | Score |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-05-20 | Hamburg | R16 | clay | Alex De Minaur | 2-6 6-4 4-6 |
| 2025-07-21 | Washington | F | hard | Alex De Minaur | 5-7 6-1 7-6 |
| 2023-08-07 | Canada Masters | SF | hard | Alex De Minaur | 6-1 6-3 |
| 2021-04-12 | Monte Carlo Masters | R64 | clay | Alejandro Davidovich Fokina | 6-4 7-6 |
| 2019-11-05 | NextGen Finals | RR | hard | Alex De Minaur | 4-2 3-4 4-1 4-1 |
Averages over each player's completed matches in the selected window (200 vs 200). ATP, WTA & Challenger.
Performance in the biggest moments — break points, deciding sets and tiebreaks (0–100, higher is better). About
Davidovich Fokina A.: 6 days rest · 2 matches, 46 games (7d) · De Minaur A.: 16 days rest. Higher means fresher. About
Each player's serve crossed against the other's return, converted to expected hold of serve. Recent completed matches, ATP, WTA & Challenger. About