Alex De Minaur vs Novak DjokovicUnited Cup Quarter-final

United Cup · ATP · Quarter-final
#6ATP
1961ELO
1935Hard ELO
$2.4MYTD
$25MCAREER
27 yrs · 183 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LWWWLWWLWW
2 — 0
Sets
Monday, 1 January 2024
hard
#8ATP
2059ELO
2022Hard ELO
$1.8MYTD
$193MCAREER
39 yrs · 188 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LWWWWWLWWL
De Minaur A.
6-4 6-4
Djokovic N.
De Minaur A.
662
Djokovic N.
440

Alex De Minaur defeated Novak Djokovic 6-4 6-4 in the United Cup quarter-final on hard. Alex De Minaur claimed a first win over Novak Djokovic in four meetings, narrowing the head-to-head to 3–1.

Key context

  • Match story: Alex De Minaur edged a tight contest from start to finish — 6–4 6–4.

Head to head

03
DateTournamentRoundSurfaceWinnerScore
2025-06-30WimbledonR16grassNovak Djokovic1-6 6-4 6-4 6-4
2024-04-08Monte Carlo MastersQFclayNovak Djokovic7-5 6-4
2023-01-16Australian OpenR16hardNovak Djokovic6-2 6-1 6-2

Serve vs return

This season
De Minaur A.serving82% hold

wins 64% of points on serve vs Djokovic N.

Djokovic N.serving86% hold

wins 67% of points on serve vs De Minaur A.

Serve advantage — Djokovic N.

Each player's serve crossed against the other's return, converted to expected hold of serve. Recent completed matches, ATP, WTA & Challenger. About

Serve & return on hard

De Minaur A.Djokovic N.
48
Serve
68
80
Return
62

Per-surface Serve / Return Rating (0–100, percentile within the hard field, opponent-adjusted over 52 weeks). About

Statistics

This season
1st serve in·Slight edge
56%
66%
1st serve points won·Even
73%
76%
2nd serve points won·Even
56%
56%
Service points won·Even
65%
69%
Return points won·Even
41%
40%
Break points saved·Even
62%
65%
Aces / match·Dominant
4.3
7.5
Double faults / match·Slight edge
2.6
2.3

Averages over each player's completed matches in the selected window (166 vs 103). ATP, WTA & Challenger.

Clutch

Under pressure
Clutch Rating·Even
95
99
Break points saved·Even
99
100
Break points won·Even
97
99
Deciding sets·Even
97
100
Tiebreaks·Even
99
100

Performance in the biggest moments — break points, deciding sets and tiebreaks (0–100, higher is better). About

Umpiry Score

Pre-match
4.9
Heavy underdogUmpiry Score
  • Extended break: 36 days (−0.7)
6.2
Even matchUmpiry Score
  • Extended break: 37 days (−0.7)
Form & Matchup
3.9Hard Elo 1935
Surface ELO
6.1+86 Hard Elo edge
3.8Overall Elo 1961
ELO gap
6.2Overall Elo 2059
0.0
H2H
10.0
6.9
Surface form
7.6
0.0
Win streak
0.0
Fatigue & Travel
7.8
Country comfort
7.7
Context
5.0
Defending pts
5.0

The Umpiry Score combines match-context factors — matchup, form, fatigue, travel and motivation — into a single 0–10 score, updated daily. Read how it works.

Freshness

Recent load
Freshness·Dominant
77
49

De Minaur A.: 6 days rest · 1 match, 34 games (7d) · Djokovic N.: 2 days rest · 3 matches, 127 games (7d). Higher means fresher. About

Conditions

Court speed
Fastbig serves, short points
SlowFast
Weather
23°CDrizzle
Wind 22 km/hHumidity 72%