Cameron Norrie vs Alex De MinaurUnited Cup Round Robin

United Cup · ATP · Round Robin
#29ATP
1829ELO
1789Hard ELO
$963kYTD
$15MCAREER
30 yrs · 188 cm · Left-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LLLLLLWWLW
2 — 1
Sets
Monday, 1 January 2024
hard
#6ATP
1961ELO
1935Hard ELO
$2.4MYTD
$25MCAREER
27 yrs · 183 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LWWWLWWLWW
Norrie C.
6-4 2-6 7-6
De Minaur A.
Norrie C.
62772
De Minaur A.
46621

Cameron Norrie defeated Alex De Minaur 6-4 2-6 7-6 in the United Cup round robin on hard. The upset overturned the form book — Alex De Minaur came in ranked #6, leading the head-to-head 3–2, defending last year's round-robin. Cameron Norrie narrowed the head-to-head to 3–3.

Key context

  • Match story: Cameron Norrie closed it out in three sets, 6–4 2–6 7–6.

Head to head

23
DateTournamentRoundSurfaceWinnerScore
2026-04-05Monte Carlo MastersR32clayAlex De Minaur7-6(5) 2-6 6-2
2026-03-04Indian Wells MastersR32hardCameron Norrie6-4 6-4
2023-08-07Canada MastersR64hardAlex De Minaur7-5 6-4
2023-01-02United CupRRhardCameron Norrie6-3 6-3
2022-04-18BarcelonaQFclayAlex De Minaur6-3 5-7 6-1

Serve vs return

This season
Norrie C.serving78% hold

wins 62% of points on serve vs De Minaur A.

De Minaur A.serving86% hold

wins 67% of points on serve vs Norrie C.

Serve advantage — De Minaur A.

Each player's serve crossed against the other's return, converted to expected hold of serve. Recent completed matches, ATP, WTA & Challenger. About

Serve & return on hard

Norrie C.De Minaur A.
45
Serve
48
34
Return
80

Per-surface Serve / Return Rating (0–100, percentile within the hard field, opponent-adjusted over 52 weeks). About

Statistics

This season
1st serve in·Slight edge
65%
56%
1st serve points won·Even
71%
73%
2nd serve points won·Even
52%
56%
Service points won·Even
64%
65%
Return points won·Even
37%
41%
Break points saved·Even
66%
62%
Aces / match·Slight edge
5.3
4.3
Double faults / match·Even
2.4
2.6

Averages over each player's completed matches in the selected window (132 vs 166). ATP, WTA & Challenger.

Clutch

Under pressure
Clutch Rating·Slight edge
89
95
Break points saved·Even
99
99
Break points won·Clear edge
83
97
Deciding sets·Even
98
97
Tiebreaks·Slight edge
89
99

Performance in the biggest moments — break points, deciding sets and tiebreaks (0–100, higher is better). About

Umpiry Score

Pre-match
3.9
Heavy underdogUmpiry Score
  • Extended break: 39 days (−0.7)
6.0
Even matchUmpiry Score
  • Extended break: 36 days (−0.7)
Form & Matchup
3.3Hard Elo 1789
Surface ELO
6.7+146 Hard Elo edge
3.7Overall Elo 1829
ELO gap
6.3Overall Elo 1961
4.6
H2H
5.4
2.1
Surface form
6.9
0.0Lost last 2
Win streak
0.0
Fatigue & Travel
Country comfort
7.8
Context
5.0
Defending pts
5.0

The Umpiry Score combines match-context factors — matchup, form, fatigue, travel and motivation — into a single 0–10 score, updated daily. Read how it works.

Freshness

Recent load
Freshness·Clear edge
94
77

Norrie C.: 13 days rest · 1 match (14d) · De Minaur A.: 6 days rest · 1 match, 34 games (7d). Higher means fresher. About

Conditions

Court speed
Fastbig serves, short points
SlowFast
Weather
23°CDrizzle
Wind 22 km/hHumidity 72%