Taylor Fritz vs Tommy PaulSt. Petersburg Round of 16

St. Petersburg · ATP · Round of 16
#7ATP
1909ELO
$1.6MYTD
$31MCAREER
28 yrs · 196 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LWWWWLWWWW
0 — 0
Sets
Monday, 25 October 2021
carpet
#25ATP
1949ELO
$1.7MYTD
$15MCAREER
29 yrs · 185 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LWWLWWWWLW
Fritz T.
7-6 6-4
Paul T.
Fritz T.
7762
Paul T.
634

Taylor Fritz defeated Tommy Paul 7-6 6-4 in the St. Petersburg round of 16 on carpet. The upset overturned the form book — Tommy Paul came in leading the head-to-head 3–2. Taylor Fritz narrowed the head-to-head to 3–3.

Key context

Head to head

23
DateTournamentRoundSurfaceWinnerScore
2026-02-16Delray BeachQFhardTommy Paul6-4 6-3
2024-02-12Delray BeachFhardTaylor Fritz6-2 6-3
2023-02-27AcapulcoSFhardTommy Paul6-3 6-7(2) 7-6(2)
2022-03-21Miami MastersR32hardTaylor Fritz7-6(2) 6-4
2021-11-08StockholmR16hardTommy Paul6-4 6-4

Serve vs return

This season
Fritz T.serving90% hold

wins 70% of points on serve vs Paul T.

Paul T.serving88% hold

wins 68% of points on serve vs Fritz T.

Serve-dominated — both hold easily, expect tiebreaks

Each player's serve crossed against the other's return, converted to expected hold of serve. Recent completed matches, ATP, WTA & Challenger. About

Statistics

This season
1st serve in·Even
63%
62%
1st serve points won·Slight edge
79%
72%
2nd serve points won·Even
55%
54%
Service points won·Slight edge
70%
65%
Return points won·Even
36%
39%
Break points saved·Slight edge
69%
64%
Aces / match·Dominant
11.5
6.1
Double faults / match·Even
1.9
2.1

Averages over each player's completed matches in the selected window (200 vs 199). ATP, WTA & Challenger.

Clutch

Under pressure
Clutch Rating·Slight edge
87
93
Break points saved·Even
100
99
Break points won·Dominant
60
87
Deciding sets·Even
98
98
Tiebreaks·Even
99
96

Performance in the biggest moments — break points, deciding sets and tiebreaks (0–100, higher is better). About

Freshness

Recent load
Freshness·Clear edge
67
86

Fritz T.: 4 days rest · 2 matches, 61 games (7d) · Paul T.: 9 days rest · 3 matches (14d). Higher means fresher. About

Conditions

Court speed
Mediumbalanced pace
SlowFast