Tommy Paul vs Taylor FritzDelray Beach Quarter-final

Delray Beach · ATP · Quarter-final
#25ATP
1949ELO
1881Hard ELO
$1.7MYTD
$15MCAREER
29 yrs · 185 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LWWLWWWWLW
2 — 0
Sets
Monday, 16 February 2026
hard
#7ATP
1909ELO
1839Hard ELO
$1.6MYTD
$31MCAREER
28 yrs · 196 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LWWWWLWWWW
Paul T.
6-4 6-3
Fritz T.
Paul T.
662
Fritz T.
430

Tommy Paul defeated Taylor Fritz 6-4 6-3 in the Delray Beach quarter-final on hard. The upset overturned the form book — Taylor Fritz came in ranked #7, leading the head-to-head 3–2, defending last year's quarter-final. Tommy Paul narrowed the head-to-head to 3–3.

Key context

  • Match story: Tommy Paul closed it out in two sets, 6–4 6–3.

Head to head

23
DateTournamentRoundSurfaceWinnerScore
2024-02-12Delray BeachFhardTaylor Fritz6-2 6-3
2023-02-27AcapulcoSFhardTommy Paul6-3 6-7(2) 7-6(2)
2022-03-21Miami MastersR32hardTaylor Fritz7-6(2) 6-4
2021-11-08StockholmR16hardTommy Paul6-4 6-4
2021-10-25St. PetersburgR16carpetTaylor Fritz7-6(3) 6-4

Serve vs return

This season
Paul T.serving94% hold

wins 74% of points on serve vs Fritz T.

Fritz T.serving93% hold

wins 72% of points on serve vs Paul T.

Serve-dominated — both hold easily, expect tiebreaks

Each player's serve crossed against the other's return, converted to expected hold of serve. Recent completed matches, ATP, WTA & Challenger. About

Serve & return on hard

Paul T.Fritz T.
71
Serve
76
54
Return
32

Per-surface Serve / Return Rating (0–100, percentile within the hard field, opponent-adjusted over 52 weeks). About

Statistics

This season
1st serve in·Slight edge
62%
68%
1st serve points won·Even
76%
80%
2nd serve points won·Even
56%
52%
Service points won·Even
69%
71%
Return points won·Even
37%
33%
Break points saved·Slight edge
61%
67%
Aces / match·Dominant
7.0
16.2
Double faults / match·Even
1.5
1.5

Averages over each player's completed matches in the selected window (25 vs 19). ATP, WTA & Challenger.

Clutch

Under pressure
Clutch Rating·Slight edge
93
87
Break points saved·Even
99
100
Break points won·Dominant
87
60
Deciding sets·Even
98
98
Tiebreaks·Even
96
99

Performance in the biggest moments — break points, deciding sets and tiebreaks (0–100, higher is better). About

Umpiry Score

Pre-match
6.3
Marginal edgeUmpiry Score
7.0
Strong advantageUmpiry Score
Form & Matchup
4.3+43 Hard Elo edge
Surface ELO
5.7Hard Elo 1839
4.4Overall Elo 1949
ELO gap
5.6Overall Elo 1909
4.6
H2H
5.4
6.1
Surface form
7.7
Fatigue & Travel
7.4
Minutes 14d
4.0
4.0
3-set count
0.0
7.0
Prev. match
7.0
Context
5.0
Defending pts
7.0

The Umpiry Score combines match-context factors — matchup, form, fatigue, travel and motivation — into a single 0–10 score, updated daily. Read how it works.

Freshness

Recent load
Freshness·Clear edge
84
63

Paul T.: 8 days rest · 3 matches (14d) · Fritz T.: 3 days rest · 3 matches, 103 games (7d). Higher means fresher. About

Conditions

Court speed
Medium-fastrewards aggression
SlowFast