Taylor Fritz vs Tommy PaulMiami Masters Round of 32

Miami Masters · ATP · Round of 32
#10ATP
1909ELO
1839Hard ELO
$1.6MYTD
$31MCAREER
28 yrs · 196 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LWWWWLWWWW
2 — 0
Sets
Monday, 21 March 2022
hard
#24ATP
1949ELO
1881Hard ELO
$1.7MYTD
$15MCAREER
29 yrs · 185 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LWWLWWWWLW
Fritz T.
7-6 6-4
Paul T.
Fritz T.
7762
Paul T.
6240

Taylor Fritz defeated Tommy Paul 7-6 6-4 in the Miami Masters round of 32 on hard. The upset overturned the form book — Tommy Paul came in leading the head-to-head 3–2, defending last year's round of 128, but Taylor Fritz had arrived on a 7-match winning run. Taylor Fritz narrowed the head-to-head to 3–3.

Key context

Head to head

23
DateTournamentRoundSurfaceWinnerScore
2026-02-16Delray BeachQFhardTommy Paul6-4 6-3
2024-02-12Delray BeachFhardTaylor Fritz6-2 6-3
2023-02-27AcapulcoSFhardTommy Paul6-3 6-7(2) 7-6(2)
2021-11-08StockholmR16hardTommy Paul6-4 6-4
2021-10-25St. PetersburgR16carpetTaylor Fritz7-6(3) 6-4

Serve vs return

This season
Fritz T.serving89% hold

wins 69% of points on serve vs Paul T.

Paul T.serving88% hold

wins 68% of points on serve vs Fritz T.

Serve-dominated — both hold easily, expect tiebreaks

Each player's serve crossed against the other's return, converted to expected hold of serve. Recent completed matches, ATP, WTA & Challenger. About

Serve & return on hard

Fritz T.Paul T.
76
Serve
71
32
Return
54

Per-surface Serve / Return Rating (0–100, percentile within the hard field, opponent-adjusted over 52 weeks). About

Statistics

This season
1st serve in·Even
63%
62%
1st serve points won·Slight edge
79%
73%
2nd serve points won·Even
55%
54%
Service points won·Slight edge
70%
65%
Return points won·Even
36%
40%
Break points saved·Slight edge
69%
64%
Aces / match·Dominant
11.5
6.1
Double faults / match·Even
1.9
2.1

Averages over each player's completed matches in the selected window (200 vs 199). ATP, WTA & Challenger.

Clutch

Under pressure
Clutch Rating·Slight edge
87
93
Break points saved·Even
100
99
Break points won·Dominant
60
87
Deciding sets·Even
98
98
Tiebreaks·Even
99
96

Performance in the biggest moments — break points, deciding sets and tiebreaks (0–100, higher is better). About

Umpiry Score

Pre-match
7.3
Strong advantageUmpiry Score
7.3
Strong advantageUmpiry Score
Form & Matchup
5.7Hard Elo 1839
Surface ELO
4.3+43 Hard Elo edge
5.6Overall Elo 1909
ELO gap
4.4Overall Elo 1949
0.0
H2H
10.0
8.7
Surface form
7.1
9.07-match win streak
Win streak
Fatigue & Travel
2.4
Minutes 14d
6.6
0.0
3-set count
7.0
7.0
Prev. match
8.0
7.2
Country comfort
7.3
Context
6.0
Defending pts
6.0

The Umpiry Score combines match-context factors — matchup, form, fatigue, travel and motivation — into a single 0–10 score, updated daily. Read how it works.

Freshness

Recent load
Freshness·Clear edge
72
88

Fritz T.: 5 days rest · 2 matches, 61 games (7d) · Paul T.: 10 days rest · 3 matches (14d). Higher means fresher. About

Conditions

Court speed
Mediumbalanced pace
SlowFast
Weather
25°CMainly clear
Wind 21 km/hHumidity 57%