Tommy Paul vs Taylor FritzAcapulco Semi-final

Acapulco · ATP · Semi-final
#24ATP
1949ELO
1881Hard ELO
$1.7MYTD
$15MCAREER
29 yrs · 185 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LWWLWWWWLW
2 — 1
Sets
Monday, 27 February 2023
hard
#10ATP
1909ELO
1839Hard ELO
$1.6MYTD
$31MCAREER
28 yrs · 196 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LWWWWLWWWW
Paul T.
6-3 6-7 7-6
Fritz T.
Paul T.
662772
Fritz T.
377621

Tommy Paul defeated Taylor Fritz 6-3 6-7 7-6 in the Acapulco semi-final on hard. The upset overturned the form book — Taylor Fritz came in ranked #10, leading the head-to-head 3–2, defending last year's round of 16. Tommy Paul narrowed the head-to-head to 3–3.

Key context

  • Match story: Tommy Paul closed it out in three sets, 6–3 6–7 7–6.

Head to head

23
DateTournamentRoundSurfaceWinnerScore
2026-02-16Delray BeachQFhardTommy Paul6-4 6-3
2024-02-12Delray BeachFhardTaylor Fritz6-2 6-3
2022-03-21Miami MastersR32hardTaylor Fritz7-6(2) 6-4
2021-11-08StockholmR16hardTommy Paul6-4 6-4
2021-10-25St. PetersburgR16carpetTaylor Fritz7-6(3) 6-4

Serve vs return

This season
Paul T.serving88% hold

wins 68% of points on serve vs Fritz T.

Fritz T.serving90% hold

wins 70% of points on serve vs Paul T.

Serve-dominated — both hold easily, expect tiebreaks

Each player's serve crossed against the other's return, converted to expected hold of serve. Recent completed matches, ATP, WTA & Challenger. About

Serve & return on hard

Paul T.Fritz T.
71
Serve
76
54
Return
32

Per-surface Serve / Return Rating (0–100, percentile within the hard field, opponent-adjusted over 52 weeks). About

Statistics

This season
1st serve in·Even
62%
63%
1st serve points won·Slight edge
73%
79%
2nd serve points won·Even
54%
55%
Service points won·Slight edge
65%
70%
Return points won·Even
39%
36%
Break points saved·Slight edge
63%
69%
Aces / match·Dominant
6.1
11.5
Double faults / match·Even
2.1
1.9

Averages over each player's completed matches in the selected window (199 vs 200). ATP, WTA & Challenger.

Clutch

Under pressure
Clutch Rating·Slight edge
93
87
Break points saved·Even
99
100
Break points won·Dominant
87
60
Deciding sets·Even
98
98
Tiebreaks·Even
96
99

Performance in the biggest moments — break points, deciding sets and tiebreaks (0–100, higher is better). About

Umpiry Score

Pre-match
7.1
Strong advantageUmpiry Score
7.7
Dominant favouriteUmpiry Score
Form & Matchup
4.3+43 Hard Elo edge
Surface ELO
5.7Hard Elo 1839
4.4Overall Elo 1949
ELO gap
5.6Overall Elo 1909
4.6
H2H
5.4
7.6
Surface form
8.5
0.0
Win streak
7.04-match win streak
Fatigue & Travel
8.4
Minutes 14d
5.9
3-set count
7.0
9.0
Prev. match
9.0
Context
7.0
Defending pts
6.0

The Umpiry Score combines match-context factors — matchup, form, fatigue, travel and motivation — into a single 0–10 score, updated daily. Read how it works.

Freshness

Recent load
Freshness·Clear edge
88
72

Paul T.: 10 days rest · 3 matches (14d) · Fritz T.: 5 days rest · 2 matches, 61 games (7d). Higher means fresher. About

Conditions

Court speed
Mediumbalanced pace
SlowFast
Weather
30°CClear
Wind 15 km/hHumidity 57%