Tommy Paul vs Taylor FritzStockholm Round of 16

Stockholm · ATP · Round of 16
#25ATP
1949ELO
1881Hard ELO
$1.7MYTD
$15MCAREER
29 yrs · 185 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LWWLWWWWLW
2 — 0
Sets
Monday, 8 November 2021
hard
#7ATP
1909ELO
1839Hard ELO
$1.6MYTD
$31MCAREER
28 yrs · 196 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LWWWWLWWWW
Paul T.
6-4 6-4
Fritz T.
Paul T.
662
Fritz T.
440

Tommy Paul defeated Taylor Fritz 6-4 6-4 in the Stockholm round of 16 on hard. The upset overturned the form book — Taylor Fritz came in ranked #7, leading the head-to-head 3–2, but Tommy Paul had arrived on a 3-match winning run. Tommy Paul narrowed the head-to-head to 3–3.

Key context

  • Match story: Tommy Paul edged a tight contest from start to finish — 6–4 6–4.

Head to head

23
DateTournamentRoundSurfaceWinnerScore
2026-02-16Delray BeachQFhardTommy Paul6-4 6-3
2024-02-12Delray BeachFhardTaylor Fritz6-2 6-3
2023-02-27AcapulcoSFhardTommy Paul6-3 6-7(2) 7-6(2)
2022-03-21Miami MastersR32hardTaylor Fritz7-6(2) 6-4
2021-10-25St. PetersburgR16carpetTaylor Fritz7-6(3) 6-4

Serve vs return

This season
Paul T.serving88% hold

wins 68% of points on serve vs Fritz T.

Fritz T.serving90% hold

wins 70% of points on serve vs Paul T.

Serve-dominated — both hold easily, expect tiebreaks

Each player's serve crossed against the other's return, converted to expected hold of serve. Recent completed matches, ATP, WTA & Challenger. About

Serve & return on hard

Paul T.Fritz T.
71
Serve
76
54
Return
32

Per-surface Serve / Return Rating (0–100, percentile within the hard field, opponent-adjusted over 52 weeks). About

Statistics

This season
1st serve in·Even
62%
63%
1st serve points won·Slight edge
72%
79%
2nd serve points won·Even
54%
55%
Service points won·Slight edge
65%
70%
Return points won·Even
39%
36%
Break points saved·Slight edge
64%
69%
Aces / match·Dominant
6.1
11.5
Double faults / match·Even
2.1
1.9

Averages over each player's completed matches in the selected window (199 vs 200). ATP, WTA & Challenger.

Clutch

Under pressure
Clutch Rating·Slight edge
93
87
Break points saved·Even
99
100
Break points won·Dominant
87
60
Deciding sets·Even
98
98
Tiebreaks·Even
96
99

Performance in the biggest moments — break points, deciding sets and tiebreaks (0–100, higher is better). About

Umpiry Score

Pre-match
6.8
Slight advantageUmpiry Score
7.4
Dominant favouriteUmpiry Score
Form & Matchup
4.3+43 Hard Elo edge
Surface ELO
5.7Hard Elo 1839
4.4Overall Elo 1949
ELO gap
5.6Overall Elo 1909
5.0
H2H
5.0
6.8
Surface form
8.0
7.03-match win streak
Win streak
Fatigue & Travel
5.5
Minutes 14d
6.5
4.0
3-set count
7.0
7.0
Prev. match
9.0
Context
5.0
Defending pts
5.0

The Umpiry Score combines match-context factors — matchup, form, fatigue, travel and motivation — into a single 0–10 score, updated daily. Read how it works.

Freshness

Recent load
Freshness·Clear edge
86
67

Paul T.: 9 days rest · 3 matches (14d) · Fritz T.: 4 days rest · 2 matches, 61 games (7d). Higher means fresher. About

Conditions

Court speed
Mediumbalanced pace
SlowFast
Weather
3°CClear
Wind 12 km/hHumidity 79%