Jan Lennard Struff vs Alexander BublikSt. Petersburg Round of 16

St. Petersburg · ATP · Round of 16
#74ATP
1694ELO
$492kYTD
$13MCAREER
36 yrs · 193 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LWWWWLWLWL
0 — 0
Sets
Monday, 25 October 2021
carpet
#11ATP
1889ELO
$1.2MYTD
$12MCAREER
29 yrs · 196 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LWWWLLWWLL
Struff J.
6-4 6-3
Bublik A.
Struff J.
662
Bublik A.
43

Jan Lennard Struff defeated Alexander Bublik 6-4 6-3 in the St. Petersburg round of 16 on carpet. The upset overturned the form book — Alexander Bublik came in ranked #11, leading the head-to-head 4–3. Jan Lennard Struff narrowed the head-to-head to 4–4.

Key context

Head to head

34
DateTournamentRoundSurfaceWinnerScore
2026-06-10StuttgartR16grassAlexander Bublik6.3-7.7 6-3 2-6
2026-05-26Roland GarrosR128clayJan Lennard Struff5-7 7.8-6.6 4-6 5-7
2026-02-23DubaiR32hardAlexander Bublik6-3 6-4
2026-02-09RotterdamR16hardAlexander Bublik7-6(2) 4-6 6-3
2024-05-27Roland GarrosR64clayJan Lennard Struff6-2 6-2 6-3
2023-06-19HalleR16grassAlexander Bublik6-3 6-7(4) 6-3
2018-04-23BudapestR16clayJan Lennard Struff6-1 6-4

Serve vs return

This season
Struff J.serving89% hold

wins 69% of points on serve vs Bublik A.

Bublik A.serving86% hold

wins 67% of points on serve vs Struff J.

Serve-dominated — both hold easily, expect tiebreaks

Each player's serve crossed against the other's return, converted to expected hold of serve. Recent completed matches, ATP, WTA & Challenger. About

Statistics

This season
1st serve in·Even
59%
61%
1st serve points won·Even
76%
77%
2nd serve points won·Slight edge
51%
46%
Service points won·Even
65%
65%
Return points won·Even
37%
35%
Break points saved·Even
64%
64%
Aces / match·Clear edge
8.8
11.1
Double faults / match·Dominant
3.4
5.8

Averages over each player's completed matches in the selected window (200 vs 200). ATP, WTA & Challenger.

Clutch

Under pressure
Clutch Rating·Dominant
61
88
Break points saved·Even
99
99
Break points won·Dominant
21
67
Deciding sets·Dominant
68
99
Tiebreaks·Even
94
96

Performance in the biggest moments — break points, deciding sets and tiebreaks (0–100, higher is better). About

Freshness

Recent load
Freshness·Clear edge
53
66

Struff J.: 4 days rest · 2 matches, 87 games (7d) · Bublik A.: 5 days rest · 2 matches, 88 games (7d). Higher means fresher. About

Conditions

Court speed
Mediumbalanced pace
SlowFast