Alexander Bublik vs Jan Lennard StruffDubai Round of 32

Dubai · ATP · Round of 32
#11ATP
1889ELO
1837Hard ELO
$1.2MYTD
$12MCAREER
29 yrs · 196 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LWWWLLWWLL
2 — 0
Sets
Monday, 23 February 2026
hard
#74ATP
1694ELO
1634Hard ELO
$492kYTD
$13MCAREER
36 yrs · 193 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LWWWWLWLWL
Bublik A.
6-3 6-4
Struff J.
Bublik A.
662
Struff J.
340

Alexander Bublik defeated Jan Lennard Struff 6-3 6-4 in the Dubai round of 32 on hard. The result followed the form book — Alexander Bublik came in ranked #11, defending last year's round of 32. Alexander Bublik narrowed the head-to-head to 4–4.

Key context

Head to head

34
DateTournamentRoundSurfaceWinnerScore
2026-06-10StuttgartR16grassAlexander Bublik6.3-7.7 6-3 2-6
2026-05-26Roland GarrosR128clayJan Lennard Struff5-7 7.8-6.6 4-6 5-7
2026-02-09RotterdamR16hardAlexander Bublik7-6(2) 4-6 6-3
2024-05-27Roland GarrosR64clayJan Lennard Struff6-2 6-2 6-3
2023-06-19HalleR16grassAlexander Bublik6-3 6-7(4) 6-3
2021-10-25St. PetersburgR16carpetJan Lennard Struff6-4 6-3
2018-04-23BudapestR16clayJan Lennard Struff6-1 6-4

Serve vs return

This season
Bublik A.serving89% hold

wins 69% of points on serve vs Struff J.

Struff J.serving88% hold

wins 69% of points on serve vs Bublik A.

Serve-dominated — both hold easily, expect tiebreaks

Each player's serve crossed against the other's return, converted to expected hold of serve. Recent completed matches, ATP, WTA & Challenger. About

Serve & return on hard

Bublik A.Struff J.
65
Serve
36
25
Return
40

Per-surface Serve / Return Rating (0–100, percentile within the hard field, opponent-adjusted over 52 weeks). About

Statistics

This season
1st serve in·Even
64%
60%
1st serve points won·Even
75%
73%
2nd serve points won·Even
51%
50%
Service points won·Even
67%
64%
Return points won·Even
34%
37%
Break points saved·Even
65%
62%
Aces / match·Clear edge
9.7
7.5
Double faults / match·Slight edge
3.3
2.9

Averages over each player's completed matches in the selected window (21 vs 17). ATP, WTA & Challenger.

Clutch

Under pressure
Clutch Rating·Dominant
88
61
Break points saved·Even
99
99
Break points won·Dominant
67
21
Deciding sets·Dominant
99
68
Tiebreaks·Even
96
94

Performance in the biggest moments — break points, deciding sets and tiebreaks (0–100, higher is better). About

Umpiry Score

Pre-match
7.7
Dominant favouriteUmpiry Score
5.9
Even matchUmpiry Score
Form & Matchup
7.7+203 Hard Elo edge
Surface ELO
2.3Hard Elo 1634
7.8Overall Elo 1889
ELO gap
2.2Overall Elo 1694
5.4
H2H
4.6
6.9
Surface form
5.7
0.0
Win streak
0.0
Fatigue & Travel
5.2
Minutes 14d
8.1
0.0
3-set count
7.0
Prev. match
9.0
Context
6.0
Defending pts
6.0

The Umpiry Score combines match-context factors — matchup, form, fatigue, travel and motivation — into a single 0–10 score, updated daily. Read how it works.

Freshness

Recent load
Freshness·Slight edge
70
59

Bublik A.: 6 days rest · 1 match, 33 games (7d) · Struff J.: 5 days rest · 2 matches, 87 games (7d). Higher means fresher. About

Conditions

Court speed
Medium-fastrewards aggression
SlowFast
Weather
26°CClear
Wind 6 km/hHumidity 53%