Alexander Bublik vs Jan Lennard Struff — Rotterdam Round of 16

Rotterdam · ATP · Round of 16
Alexander Bublik
KAZ3
Alexander Bublik
#11ATP
1889ELO
1837Hard ELO
$1.2MYTD
$12MCAREER
29 yrs · 196 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LWWWLLWWLL
2 — 1
Sets
Monday, 9 February 2026
hard
Jan Lennard Struff
GER
Jan Lennard Struff
#74ATP
1694ELO
1634Hard ELO
$492kYTD
$13MCAREER
36 yrs · 193 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LWWWWLWLWL
Bublik A.
7-6 4-6 6-3
Struff J.
Bublik A.
77462
Struff J.
62631

Alexander Bublik defeated Jan Lennard Struff 7-6 4-6 6-3 in the Rotterdam round of 16 on hard. The result followed the form book — Alexander Bublik came in ranked #11, defending last year's round of 32. Alexander Bublik narrowed the head-to-head to 4–4.

Key context

Head to head

3–4
DateTournamentRoundSurfaceWinnerScore
2026-06-10StuttgartR16grassAlexander Bublik6.3-7.7 6-3 2-6
2026-05-26Roland GarrosR128clayJan Lennard Struff5-7 7.8-6.6 4-6 5-7
2026-02-23DubaiR32hardAlexander Bublik6-3 6-4
2024-05-27Roland GarrosR64clayJan Lennard Struff6-2 6-2 6-3
2023-06-19HalleR16grassAlexander Bublik6-3 6-7(4) 6-3
2021-10-25St. PetersburgR16carpetJan Lennard Struff6-4 6-3
2018-04-23BudapestR16clayJan Lennard Struff6-1 6-4
View full head-to-head →

Serve vs return

This season
Bublik A.serving89% hold

wins 69% of points on serve vs Struff J.

Struff J.serving88% hold

wins 69% of points on serve vs Bublik A.

Serve-dominated — both hold easily, expect tiebreaks

Each player's serve crossed against the other's return, converted to expected hold of serve. Recent completed matches, ATP, WTA & Challenger. About

Serve & return on hard

Bublik A.Struff J.
65
Serve
36
25
Return
40

Per-surface Serve / Return Rating (0–100, percentile within the hard field, opponent-adjusted over 52 weeks). About

Statistics

This season
Bublik A.Struff J.
1st serve in·Slight edge
66%
60%
1st serve points won·Even
75%
72%
2nd serve points won·Even
51%
50%
Service points won·Even
67%
64%
Return points won·Even
34%
37%
Break points saved·Slight edge
65%
59%
Aces / match·Clear edge
9.6
7.5
Double faults / match·Even
3.0
2.9

Averages over each player's completed matches in the selected window (21 vs 17). ATP, WTA & Challenger.

Clutch

Under pressure
Bublik A.Struff J.
Clutch Rating·Dominant
88
61
Break points saved·Even
99
99
Break points won·Dominant
67
21
Deciding sets·Dominant
99
68
Tiebreaks·Even
96
94

Performance in the biggest moments — break points, deciding sets and tiebreaks (0–100, higher is better). About

Umpiry Score

Pre-match
Bublik A.
7.2
Strong advantageUmpiry Score
Struff J.
5.9
Even matchUmpiry Score
Form & Matchup
7.7+203 Hard Elo edge
Surface ELO
2.3Hard Elo 1634
7.8Overall Elo 1889
ELO gap
2.2Overall Elo 1694
0.0
H2H
10.0
7.6
Surface form
5.8
Context
6.0
Defending pts
6.0

The Umpiry Score combines match-context factors — matchup, form, fatigue, travel and motivation — into a single 0–10 score, updated daily. Read how it works.

Freshness

Recent load
Bublik A.Struff J.
Freshness·Slight edge
70
59

Bublik A.: 6 days rest · 1 match, 33 games (7d) · Struff J.: 5 days rest · 2 matches, 87 games (7d). Higher means fresher. About

Conditions

Court speed
Mediumbalanced pace
SlowFast
Weather
3°COvercast
Wind 11 km/hHumidity 97%
Final
De Minaur A.[1]
Auger Aliassime F.[2]
6-36-2
Semi-finals
De Minaur A.[1]
Humbert U.
6-46-3
Auger Aliassime F.[2]
Bublik A.[3]
6-16-2
Quarter-finals
De Minaur A.[1]
Van De Zandschulp B.
3-67-647-5
Bublik A.[3]
Munar J.
6-46-747-63
Humbert U.
Oconnell C.
6-46-1
Auger Aliassime F.[2]
Griekspoor T.[7]
7-626-2
R16
Oconnell C.
Norrie C.[6]
7-696-4
Van De Zandschulp B.
Tsitsipas S.
6-47-64
De Minaur A.[1]
Wawrinka S.
6-46-2
Humbert U.
Den Ouden G.
6-46-3
Munar J.
Khachanov K.[5]
7-683-66-3
Auger Aliassime F.[2]
Medjedovic H.
6-46-4
Bublik A.[3]
Struff J.
7-624-66-3
Griekspoor T.[7]
Halys Q.
7-57-611
R32
Medjedovic H.
Bergs Z.
7-657-65
Oconnell C.
Royer V.
6-44-67-64
Griekspoor T.[7]
Mpetshi Perricard G.
6-46-4
Humbert U.
Medvedev D.[4]
7-643-66-3
Halys Q.
Rottgering M.
3-66-16-1
Struff J.
Grenier H.
6-06-4
Tsitsipas S.
Rinderknech A.[8]
7-56-3
Den Ouden G.
Fucsovics M.
7-656-1
Wawrinka S.
Boogaard T.
6-36-4
Khachanov K.[5]
De Jong J.
3-66-47-5
Van De Zandschulp B.
Pavlovic L.
7-656-3
De Minaur A.[1]
Fils A.
7-636-2
Auger Aliassime F.[2]
Popyrin A.
7-56-3
Munar J.
Budkov Kjaer N.
6-16-3
Bublik A.[3]
Hurkacz H.
6-727-617-5
Norrie C.[6]
Bautista Agut R.
7-636-1