Upset Audit

WTA Tour Wuhan 2026: the biggest upsets

The most surprising results of WTA Tour Wuhan 2026 in Wuhan, China, ranked by the Umpiry Surprise Score— 100 minus the winner's frozen pre-match win probability. The higher the score, the bigger the shock. Tap any result for the full match.

1

Li A.def.Sabalenka A.

WTA Tour Wuhan 2026 — Round of 323-6 6-4 7-6(5)

Pre-match WP: Li A. 16% · Sabalenka A. 84%

84

Umpiry
Surprise Score

2

Ostapenko J.def.Pegula J.

WTA Tour Wuhan 2026 — Round of 322-6 7-6(7) 6-3

Pre-match WP: Ostapenko J. 19% · Pegula J. 81%

81

Umpiry
Surprise Score

3

Pohankova M.def.Bondar A.

WTA Tour Wuhan 2026 — Round of 1286-1 6-3

Pre-match WP: Pohankova M. 19% · Bondar A. 81%

81

Umpiry
Surprise Score

4

Guo H.def.Cirstea S.

WTA Tour Wuhan 2026 — Round of 1281-6 7-6(6) 7-5

Pre-match WP: Guo H. 23% · Cirstea S. 77%

77

Umpiry
Surprise Score

5

Shi H.def.Eala A.

WTA Tour Wuhan 2026 — Round of 1284-6 6-3 6-3

Pre-match WP: Shi H. 25% · Eala A. 75%

75

Umpiry
Surprise Score

6

Pohankova M.def.Wang X.

WTA Tour Wuhan 2026 — Round of 327-6(2) 6-7(7) 6-1

Pre-match WP: Pohankova M. 25% · Wang X. 75%

75

Umpiry
Surprise Score

7

Guo H.def.Volynets K.

WTA Tour Wuhan 2026 — Round of 326-4 4-6 7-6(3)

Pre-match WP: Guo H. 25% · Volynets K. 75%

75

Umpiry
Surprise Score

8

Sakkari M.def.Kostyuk M.

WTA Tour Wuhan 2026 — Round of 324-6 6-2 6-2

Pre-match WP: Sakkari M. 26% · Kostyuk M. 74%

74

Umpiry
Surprise Score

The Umpiry Surprise Score uses a calibrated win probability frozen at match start, never recomputed in hindsight. Only genuine shocks are listed — main-draw results where the winner was a clear underdog (Surprise Score 70+, i.e. a pre-match win probability of 30% or below). It is statistical information, not a betting recommendation.