M25 Kigali 2026: Schedule, Results & Stats

ITF M25 · SinglesITF M25ClayRwanda
M25 Kigali 2026
4–8 October 20264–8 Oct 2026In progress · Day 3
Round of 16

Draw 32 · Clay · UTC+2

Draw 32 · Clay

What is happening now and who is likely to win

Projected champions

Chance to win the tournament · after R32 · 16 players left
Chance to winAll 12 →
Distribution of title chances · after R32 · 16 players leftOthers 40%
Distribution of title chances
Umpiry title projection from player Elo, surface Elo and the remaining draw · updates as results come in · not a guarantee. Methodology

Tournament strength

How it works →How →
Field rating36/ 100/100Stronger than 41% of ITF M25 fields this season
Top 50 playersTop 500
Top 100 playersTop 1000 of 31
Average EloAvg Elo1 537

Draw outlook

Path difficulty
Open draw →Draw →
Player◀ Tougher path◀ TougherEasier path ▶Easier ▶

Title-chance points gained (green) or lost (amber) because of the projected opponents on the way to the final, vs an average draw. Based on projected opponents and current player strength, not on opinion.Title-chance points gained (green) or lost (amber) because of projected opponents, vs an average draw. How it works

History & context

About the tournament

M25 Kigali is a men's ITF tournament held in Rwanda. The 2026 edition takes place 4–8 October 2026 on clay courts. The singles draw features 32 players competing from the round of 32 through to the final. This page provides the full schedule, live scores and complete results for the current edition, with each match linking to detailed head-to-head records, recent form and pre-match analysis.

Clay is the slowest of the main surfaces: the ball sits up and rallies run long, rewarding patience, movement and heavy topspin.

More on Umpiry · discovery

Frequently asked · M25 Kigali 2026Frequently asked

Who is the favourite to win M25 Kigali 2026?

Based on Umpiry's Title chances projection, Max Houkes currently has the highest probability of winning at 18%, followed by Florent Bax (15%) and Corentin Denolly (15%). The probabilities are calculated by simulating the remaining draw and update after every match.

Who does Umpiry project to win M25 Kigali 2026?

Max Houkes is the most likely champion (18%) in Umpiry's Monte Carlo simulation of the remaining M25 Kigali draw. The Draw tab shows their most likely route to the title — their projected opponent in each round — and updates after every result.

What surface is M25 Kigali played on?

M25 Kigali is played on clay.

What category is M25 Kigali?

M25 Kigali is part of the ITF.