UMPIRY

Yshai Oliel vs Alec Beckley — M25 Kigali Round of 16

M25 KigaliR16ClayThu 8 Oct · 11:35
Yshai OlielISR67%
VSClear favourite · Oliel Y.
Alec Beckley(6)ATP #598 · RSA33%
Win probabilityWho is more likely to winClear favourite · Oliel Y.
67%33%

Clear edge for Oliel Y. across form, surface and matchup. Upsets at this level happen in about 1 in 3 such matches.

Umpiry ScoreMatchup strength, 0–10 · not a probability
Oliel Y.5.3/10
Clear underdogBased on 5/6 signal groups5/6
Beckley A.5.0/10
Heavy underdogBased on 5/6 signal groups5/6
Why
Surface form4 of last 10 on claySupports Oliel Y.
Recent runLost last 3Informative
Head-to-headFirst meeting on clayBoth players
This eventDidn't play here last yearBoth players
ELO1 662
Clay ELO1 639
Last 107–3
Age26
Height188 cm
PlaysLeft
ELO1 614
Clay ELO1 567
Last 106–4
Age25
Height183 cm
PlaysRight

Yshai Oliel faces Alec Beckley in the M25 Kigali round of 16 on clay. Recent clay form is closely matched. They have met 2 times, the series level at 1–1, though this is their first meeting on clay.

Key context

  • Head-to-head: The head-to-head is level 1–1; this is their first meeting on clay. Last met at M25 Netanya 1 2022.
  • Fatigue load: Alec Beckley carries the heavier recent load — 2 three-setters to 1 in the past fortnight.
  • Surface form: Both 3 of 4 on clay recently — court-specific quality nearly identical despite the ranking gap.

Common opponents

0 shared · last 12 months
No common opponents in the last 12 months. Surface form and ELO carry more weight here.

Head-to-head

2 meetings · level 1–1
11

Evidence

Oliel Y.Beckley A.
FormLast 10 matches each · 2026
Win–loss7–3 (ahead)6–4
Season win rate75% (3–1) (ahead)54% (14–12)
RatingUmpiry ELO
Overall ELO1662 (ahead)1614
Clay-court ELO1639 (ahead)1567

Draw

Odds

Conditions

11:35 local
SurfaceClay
Forecast29°C · Drizzle
Wind8 km/h
Humidity44%

Cite this

Umpiry, "Yshai Oliel vs Alec Beckley — M25 Kigali Round of 16", https://umpiry.com/match/2026-10-08/beckley-vs-oliel-m25-kigali-r16?utm_source=cite (as of 8 October 2026).