Simona Waltert vs Lucrezia Stefanini

UMPIRY

Chennai Open - ChennaiR16HardThu 5 Nov · ~16:30Centre Court · After 1 match

Simona WaltertWTA #133 · SUI34%

VSSlight edge · Stefanini L.

Lucrezia Stefanini(10)WTA #117 · ITA66%

Win probabilityWho is more likely to winSlight edge · Stefanini L.

34%66%

Stefanini L. favoured, but within the range where form on the day decides.

Umpiry ScoreMatchup strength, 0–10 · not a probability

Waltert S.6.3/10

Marginal edge

Stefanini L.6.0/10

Even match

Why

Surface+109 Hard Elo edgeAgainst the prediction · Waltert S.

Overall ratingOverall Elo 1670Against the prediction · Waltert S.

Head-to-headNo prior meetingsBoth players

This eventDidn't play here last yearBoth players

Long matches1 three-setter in 14 daysBoth players

ELO1 728

Hard ELO1 610

Last 105–5

Age25

PlaysRight

EarningsCareer $1.7M2026 $697K

ELO1 807

Hard ELO1 711

Last 107–3

Age28

PlaysRight

EarningsCareer $1.3M2026 $246K

Simona Waltert faces Lucrezia Stefanini in the Chennai Open - Chennai round of 16 on hard. Lucrezia Stefanini holds the paper edge — ranked #117.

Key context

Serve & return: Simona Waltert brings the bigger serve (Serve Rating 14), Lucrezia Stefanini the stronger return game (Return Rating 85).
Under pressure: In the tight moments, Simona Waltert has rated higher under pressure (Clutch Rating 78 vs 32).
Last match: Lucrezia Stefanini dropped just 4 games past Rada Zolotareva.

Common opponents

6 shared · last 12 months

Waltert S. and Stefanini L. faced 6 of the same opponents in the last 12 months. Waltert S. went 1–6 (14%) against them, Stefanini L. 0–6 (0%). Results against comparable opponents are close (1 : 0 better-results split).

1–614%Waltert S. · better vs 1Record vs common opponents0–60%Stefanini L. · better vs 0

Vs common opponents · derived from scorelines

4–12Sets1–12

56–83Games45–77

0–1Tiebreaks0–2

0–2Deciding sets0–1

vs Ostapenko J.#25L2-6 5-7Madrid · clayL0-6 1-6Rome · clay
vs Osorio C.#67L2-6 1-6Wimbledon · grassL6-7(4) 3-6Toronto · hard
vs Osorio Serrano M.#69L2-6 1-6Wimbledon · grassL6-7(4) 3-6Toronto · hard

Show 3 more ▾Show less ▴

vs Kawa K.#115L1-6 4-6Iasi · clayL4-6 6-2 2-6Wimbledon · grass
vs Podoroska N.#188L6-4 6-7(5) 3-6US Open · hardL3-6 4-6Sao Paulo · hard
vs Osuigwe W.#233L6-3 3-6 2-6Madrid 125 · clayL5-7 2-6Australian Open · hard

Head-to-head

They have not met before.

Evidence

Waltert S.Stefanini L.

FormLast 10 matches each · 2026

Win–loss5–57–3

Season win rate46% (26–31)57% (39–29)

RatingUmpiry ELO

Overall ELO17281807

Hard-court ELO16101711

Serve vs returnLast 56 vs 57 matches

1st-serve points won63%55%

Return points won44%48%

Aces / match2.00.2

ClutchLast 56 vs 57 matches

Break points saved56%54%

When it starts

Centre Court · After 1 match · Followed by

1Uchijima M. v Linette M.Starting at 3:00 PM
2This match: Waltert S. v Stefanini L.This match
3Zakharova A. v Adkar V.Followed by

Draw

Odds

Conditions

Centre Court · ~16:30 local

SurfaceHard

Forecast28°C · Overcast

Wind10 km/h

Humidity79%

Freshness

Last 7 & 14 days

Waltert S.Stefanini L.

1Days since last match1

1Matches · 7 days2

28Games · 7 days43

2Matches · 14 days3

48Games · 14 days60

Green marks the fresher player.

Cite this

Umpiry, "Simona Waltert vs Lucrezia Stefanini — Chennai Open - Chennai Round of 16", https://umpiry.com/match/2026-11-05/stefanini-vs-waltert-chennai-open-chennai-r16?utm_source=cite (as of 5 November 2026).