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Daniel Merida Aguilar vs Alexander Blockx — Rolex Paris Masters - Paris Round of 64

Rolex Paris Masters - ParisR64HardMon 2 Nov · 10:00
Win probabilityWho is more likely to winToss-up
53%47%

No meaningful edge. Serve performance in the first set is the likeliest tiebreaker.

Umpiry ScoreMatchup strength, 0–10 · not a probability
Merida Aguilar D.5.5/10
Slight disadvantage
Blockx A.6.0/10
Even match
Why
Surface+118 Hard Elo edgeAgainst the prediction · Blockx A.
Overall ratingOverall Elo 1906Against the prediction · Blockx A.
Recent runLost last 2Informative
Head-to-headNo prior meetingsBoth players
This eventDidn't play here last yearBoth players
ELO1 971
Hard ELO1 773
Last 105–5
Age22
Height188 cm
PlaysRight
EarningsCareer $1.2M2026 $940K
ELO1 994
Hard ELO1 750
Last 105–5
Age21
Height191 cm
PlaysRight
EarningsCareer $2.1M2026 $1.2M

Daniel Merida Aguilar faces Alexander Blockx in the Rolex Paris Masters - Paris round of 64 on hard. Alexander Blockx holds the paper edge — ranked #27, a roughly 120-point hard Elo advantage. Recent hard form is closely matched.

Key context

Common opponents

7 shared · last 12 months

Merida Aguilar D. and Blockx A. faced 7 of the same opponents in the last 12 months. Merida Aguilar D. went 7–1 (88%) against them, Blockx A. 6–1 (86%). Results against comparable opponents are close (1 : 1 better-results split).

7–188%Merida Aguilar D. · better vs 1Record vs common opponents6–186%Blockx A. · better vs 1
Vs common opponents · derived from scorelines
15–5Sets15–6
108–79Games111–89
3–0Tiebreaks2–1
3–1Deciding sets3–1
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Head-to-head

They have not met before.

Evidence

Merida Aguilar D.Blockx A.
FormLast 10 matches each · 2026
Win–loss5–55–5
Season win rate68% (44–21) (ahead)66% (37–19)
RatingUmpiry ELO
Overall ELO19711994 (ahead)
Hard-court ELO1773 (ahead)1750
Serve vs returnLast 58 vs 49 matches
1st-serve points won67%78% (ahead)
Return points won41% (ahead)37%
Aces / match2.77.8 (ahead)
ClutchLast 58 vs 49 matches
Break points saved57%69% (ahead)

Draw

Odds

Conditions

10:00 local
SurfaceHard
Forecast9°C · Partly cloudy
Wind8 km/h
Humidity80%

Cite this

Umpiry, "Daniel Merida Aguilar vs Alexander Blockx — Rolex Paris Masters - Paris Round of 64", https://umpiry.com/match/2026-11-02/aguilar-vs-blockx-rolex-paris-masters-paris-r64?utm_source=cite (as of 2 November 2026).