Roman Andres Burruchaga vs Daniel Merida AguilarUmag Semi-final

Umag · ATP · Semi-final
#67ATP
1711ELO
1694Clay ELO
$458kYTD
$1.3MCAREER
24 yrs · 183 cm · Right-handed
Last 10
WWWLLLLWLL
Sets
Friday, 17 July 2026 ·
clay
1744ELO
1700Clay ELO
21 yrs · 188 cm · Right-handed
Last 10
WWWLWLLWWW
Burruchaga R.
vs
Merida Aguilar D.

Roman Andres Burruchaga faces Daniel Merida Aguilar in the Umag semi-final on clay. Daniel Merida Aguilar brings the better recent clay form (6 of 7).

Key context

Umpiry Score

Pre-match
5.1
Clear underdogUmpiry Score
  • Back-to-back day (−0.5)
6.1
Even matchUmpiry Score
  • Back-to-back day (−0.5)
Form & Matchup
4.9Clay Elo 1694
Surface ELO
5.1+6 Clay Elo edge
4.6Overall Elo 1711
ELO gap
5.4Overall Elo 1744
3.0Trails 0–1 on clay
H2H
7.0Leads 1–0 on clay
6.36 of last 10 on clay
Surface form
8.99 of last 10 on clay
7.03-match win streak
Win streak
7.03-match win streak
Fatigue & Travel
7.01 three-setter in 14 days
3-set count
Context
5.0Didn't play here last year
Defending pts
5.0Didn't play here last year

The Umpiry Score combines match-context factors — matchup, form, fatigue, travel and motivation — into a single 0–10 score, updated daily. Read how it works.

Form trajectory

Direction of recent form — results vs Elo expectation blended with serve/return vs each player's baseline, over the last few months. About

31 vs 41 matches

Statistics

This season
1st serve in·Even
63%
67%
1st serve points won·Even
68%
67%
2nd serve points won·Even
50%
50%
Service points won·Even
61%
61%
Return points won·Even
43%
41%
Break points saved·Slight edge
65%
59%
Aces / match·Slight edge
2.3
3.2
Double faults / match·Clear edge
3.8
2.5

Averages over each player's completed matches in the selected window (31 vs 41). ATP, WTA & Challenger.

Serve vs return

This season
Burruchaga R.serving66% hold

wins 57% of points on serve vs Merida Aguilar D.

Merida Aguilar D.serving62% hold

wins 55% of points on serve vs Burruchaga R.

Baseline battle — serve is shaky, expect plenty of breaks

Each player's serve crossed against the other's return, converted to expected hold of serve. Recent completed matches, ATP, WTA & Challenger. About

Clutch

Under pressure
Clutch Rating·Clear edge
67
55
Break points saved·Even
68
64
Break points won·Dominant
73
46
Deciding sets·Even
84
87
Tiebreaks·Clear edge
65
50

Performance in the biggest moments — break points, deciding sets and tiebreaks (0–100, higher is better). About

Freshness

Recent load
Freshness·Even
77
78

Burruchaga R.: 1 day rest · 2 matches, 35 games (7d) · Merida Aguilar D.: 1 day rest · 2 matches, 39 games (7d). Higher means fresher. About

Conditions

Court speed
Slowlow bounce, long rallies
SlowFast

Head to head

No previous meetings on record.