Daniel Merida Aguilar vs Kyrian Jacquet — Estoril Round of 32
FRALL
Merida Aguilar D.
Daniel Merida Aguilar faces Kyrian Jacquet in the Estoril round of 32 on clay. Daniel Merida Aguilar holds the paper edge — ranked #59, a roughly 110-point clay Elo advantage.
Win Probability
Pre-match · updated 08:50 UTC50–58%
58–67%
67–80%
80%+
Slight edge · Merida Aguilar D. narrowly ahead
Calibrated model · 65% favourite accuracy (2025–26, out-of-sample). Probability is a statistical estimate, not a certainty. How it works.
Key context
- Freshness: Workload contrast: Daniel Merida Aguilar 101 games in 14 days, Kyrian Jacquet 60.
- Win streak: Daniel Merida Aguilar arrives on a 5-match winning run.
Umpiry Score
Pre-matchThe Umpiry Score combines match-context factors — matchup, form, fatigue, travel and motivation — into a single 0–10 score, updated daily. Read how it works.
Statistics
This seasonAverages over each player's completed matches in the selected window (41 vs 16). ATP, WTA & Challenger.
Serve vs return
This seasonEach player's serve crossed against the other's return, converted to expected hold of serve. Recent completed matches, ATP, WTA & Challenger. About
Clutch
Under pressurePerformance in the biggest moments — break points, deciding sets and tiebreaks (0–100, higher is better). About
Freshness
Recent loadMerida Aguilar D.: 3 days rest · 5 matches, 101 games (7d) · Jacquet K.: 2 days rest · 2 matches, 43 games (7d). Higher means fresher. About
Conditions
Head to head
No previous meetings on record.