Alexander Blockx vs Marco TrungellitiUS Open Round of 64

US Open · ATP · Round of 64
#32ATP
1906ELO
1793Hard ELO
21 yrs · 191 cm · Right-handed
Last 10
WLWLLLWWWL
Sets
Thursday, 3 September 2026 ·
hard
#83ATP
1627ELO
1496Hard ELO
36 yrs · 178 cm · Right-handed
Last 10
WLWWWLLWLW
Blockx A.
vs
Trungelliti M.

Alexander Blockx faces Marco Trungelliti in the US Open round of 64 on hard. Alexander Blockx is the paper favourite — ranked #32, a roughly 300-point hard Elo advantage — but Marco Trungelliti arrives in form, winning 4 of their last 5 on hard to Alexander Blockx's 2.

Win Probability

Pre-match · updated 16:50 UTC
Blockx A.81%
Trungelliti M.19%
Toss-up
50–58%
Slight edge
58–67%
Clear favourite
67–80%
Strong favourite
80%+

Strong favourite · Blockx A. heavily favoured

Calibrated model · 65% favourite accuracy (2025–26, out-of-sample). Probability is a statistical estimate, not a certainty. How it works.

Key context

Common opponents

Last 12 months
2 common opponents · Blockx A. 1–1 · Trungelliti M. 2–2 · small sample
Both lost · same surface, 0 days apart
Includes tour-level, 125s, qualifying and team events (⚑). Walkovers excluded. Describes past results in different contexts — not a prediction.

Umpiry Score

Pre-match
7.4
Dominant favouriteUmpiry Score
5.5
Slight disadvantageUmpiry Score
Form & Matchup
8.7+297 Hard Elo edge
Surface ELO
1.3Hard Elo 1496
8.5Overall Elo 1906
ELO gap
1.5Overall Elo 1627
5.0No prior meetings
H2H
5.0No prior meetings
5.86 of last 10 on hard
Surface form
4.94 of last 10 on hard
Fatigue & Travel
7.01 three-setter in 14 days
3-set count
7.01 three-setter in 14 days
Context
5.0Didn't play here last year
Defending pts
5.0Didn't play here last year

The Umpiry Score combines match-context factors — matchup, form, fatigue, travel and motivation — into a single 0–10 score, updated daily. Read how it works.

37 vs 36 matches

Statistics

This season
1st serve in·Even
59%
61%
1st serve points won·Slight edge
77%
71%
2nd serve points won·Even
52%
50%
Service points won·Even
67%
63%
Return points won·Even
37%
38%
Break points saved·Even
68%
65%
Aces / match·Clear edge
6.9
4.6
Double faults / match·Clear edge
2.6
3.9

Averages over each player's completed matches in the selected window (37 vs 36). ATP, WTA & Challenger.

Serve vs return

This season
Blockx A.serving88% hold

wins 68% of points on serve vs Trungelliti M.

Trungelliti M.serving83% hold

wins 65% of points on serve vs Blockx A.

Serve-dominated — both hold easily, expect tiebreaks

Each player's serve crossed against the other's return, converted to expected hold of serve. Recent completed matches, ATP, WTA & Challenger. About

Clutch

Under pressure
Clutch Rating·Dominant
71
29
Break points saved·Clear edge
97
78
Break points won·Even
27
25
Deciding sets·Dominant
95
57
Tiebreaks·Dominant
87
13

Performance in the biggest moments — break points, deciding sets and tiebreaks (0–100, higher is better). About

Freshness

Recent load
Freshness·Clear edge
85
72

Blockx A.: 2 days rest · 1 match, 27 games (7d) · Trungelliti M.: 2 days rest · 1 match, 45 games (7d). Higher means fresher. About

Conditions

Court speed
Medium-fastrewards aggression
SlowFast
Weather forecast
28°COvercast
Wind 19 km/hHumidity 80%

Head to head

No previous meetings on record.

Draw