Alexander Blockx faces Marco Trungelliti in the US Open round of 64 on hard. Alexander Blockx is the paper favourite — ranked #32, a roughly 300-point hard Elo advantage — but Marco Trungelliti arrives in form, winning 4 of their last 5 on hard to Alexander Blockx's 2.
Strong favourite · Blockx A. heavily favoured
Calibrated model · 65% favourite accuracy (2025–26, out-of-sample). Probability is a statistical estimate, not a certainty. How it works.
The Umpiry Score combines match-context factors — matchup, form, fatigue, travel and motivation — into a single 0–10 score, updated daily. Read how it works.
Averages over each player's completed matches in the selected window (37 vs 36). ATP, WTA & Challenger.
Each player's serve crossed against the other's return, converted to expected hold of serve. Recent completed matches, ATP, WTA & Challenger. About
Performance in the biggest moments — break points, deciding sets and tiebreaks (0–100, higher is better). About
Blockx A.: 2 days rest · 1 match, 27 games (7d) · Trungelliti M.: 2 days rest · 1 match, 45 games (7d). Higher means fresher. About
No previous meetings on record.
Per-surface Serve / Return Rating (0–100, percentile within the hard field, opponent-adjusted over 52 weeks). About