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Thiago Agustin Tirante vs Mattia Bellucci — Rolex Paris Masters - Paris Qualifying Round of 16

Rolex Paris Masters - ParisQ16QualifyingHardSun 1 Nov · 11:00COURT CENTRAL · Next on
Win probabilityWho is more likely to winToss-up
49%51%

No meaningful edge. Serve performance in the first set is the likeliest tiebreaker.

Umpiry ScoreMatchup strength, 0–10 · not a probability
Tirante T.4.4/10
Heavy underdog
Bellucci M.5.8/10
Slight disadvantage
Why
Surface+42 Hard Elo edgeSupports Bellucci M.
Overall ratingOverall Elo 1741Against the prediction · Tirante T.
Head-to-headLeads 1–0 on hardSupports Bellucci M.
This eventDidn't play here last yearBoth players
Long matches2 three-setters in 14 daysBoth players
ELO1 931
Hard ELO1 728
Last 104–6
Age25
Height185 cm
PlaysRight
EarningsCareer $2.5M2026 $1.2M
ELO1 887
Hard ELO1 750
Last 108–2
Age25
Height175 cm
PlaysLeft
EarningsCareer $2.6M2026 $662K

Thiago Agustin Tirante faces Mattia Bellucci in the Rolex Paris Masters - Paris qualifying round of 16 on hard. Thiago Agustin Tirante is the paper favourite — ranked #51 — but Mattia Bellucci arrives in form, winning 8 of their last 10 on hard to Thiago Agustin Tirante's 4 of 10. They have met 2 times, the series level at 1–1, Mattia Bellucci ahead 1–0 on hard.

Key context

Common opponents

6 shared · last 12 months

Tirante T. and Bellucci M. faced 6 of the same opponents in the last 12 months. Tirante T. went 5–2 (71%) against them, Bellucci M. 4–4 (50%). Results against comparable opponents are close (2 : 1 better-results split).

5–271%Tirante T. · better vs 2Record vs common opponents4–450%Bellucci M. · better vs 1
Vs common opponents · derived from scorelines
12–7Sets10–10
105–88Games100–99
2–0Tiebreaks3–2
2–1Deciding sets1–2
Show 3 more ▾Show less ▴

Head-to-head

2 meetings · level 1–1
11

Hard: Bellucci M. leads 1–0 · Clay: Tirante T. leads 1–0

Evidence

Tirante T.Bellucci M.
FormLast 10 matches each · 2026
Win–loss4–68–2 (ahead)
Season win rate57% (32–24)58% (40–29) (ahead)
RatingUmpiry ELO
Overall ELO1931 (ahead)1887
Hard-court ELO17281750 (ahead)
Serve vs returnLast 49 vs 64 matches
1st-serve points won76% (ahead)73%
Return points won36%37% (ahead)
Aces / match8.8 (ahead)6.7
ClutchLast 49 vs 64 matches
Break points saved61%64% (ahead)

When it starts

COURT CENTRAL · Next on · Starts at 11:00 AM
  • 1This match: Tirante T. v Bellucci M.This match

Draw

Odds

Conditions

COURT CENTRAL · 11:00 local
SurfaceHard
Forecast9°C · Clear
Wind9 km/h
Humidity76%

Freshness

Last 7 & 14 days
Tirante T.Bellucci M.
7Days since last match9 — fresher
1Matches · 7 days0 — fresher
23Games · 7 days0 — fresher
2 — fresherMatches · 14 days4
53 — fresherGames · 14 days118
Green marks the fresher player.

Cite this

Umpiry, "Thiago Agustin Tirante vs Mattia Bellucci — Rolex Paris Masters - Paris Qualifying Round of 16", https://umpiry.com/match/2026-11-01/bellucci-vs-tirante-rolex-paris-masters-paris-q16?utm_source=cite (as of 1 November 2026).