Sebastian Baez vs Damir Dzumhur — Rolex Paris Masters - Paris Qualifying Round of 32
Sebastian Baez faces Damir Dzumhur in the Rolex Paris Masters - Paris qualifying round of 32 on hard. Sebastian Baez is the paper favourite — ranked #49, leading the head-to-head 3–1, a roughly 110-point hard Elo advantage — but Damir Dzumhur arrives in form, winning 7 of their last 9 on hard to Sebastian Baez's 2 of 9.
Key context
- Freshness: Sebastian Baez comes in with 7 days of rest and 46 games in 14d, vs Damir Dzumhur's 9 and 88.
- Head-to-head: Sebastian Baez leads the head-to-head 3–1; this is their first meeting on hard. Last met at Madrid Masters 2025.
- Surface form: Sebastian Baez 2 of 9, Damir Dzumhur 7 of 9 on hard recently — Damir Dzumhur the sharper of late.
Live Win Probability
iServe flowBaez S. broken twice · Dzumhur D. broken twice.
- Hold to love/15
- Hold to 30
- Hold to 40 / deuce
- Broken
- Result unknown
Match momentum
Last 30 pointsBaez S.Dzumhur D.Break of serve
Key moments
Latest first- BREAKSet 1 · Game 8Dzumhur D. broke serve
- BREAKSet 1 · Game 5Baez S. broke serve
- BREAKSet 1 · Game 4Dzumhur D. broke serve
- BREAKSet 1 · Game 1Baez S. broke serve
Baez S. came in with the higher hard rating (1682 vs 1669); Dzumhur D. with the better recent record (7–3 vs 2–8); Baez S. with the head-to-head lead (3–1).
Pre-match prediction
Set before the first ball · not updated in playCommon opponents
4 shared · last 12 monthsBaez S. and Dzumhur D. faced 4 of the same opponents in the last 12 months. Baez S. went 1–3 (25%) against them, Dzumhur D. 1–3 (25%). Results against comparable opponents are close (0 : 0 better-results split).
Only 4 common opponents — small sample, treat as indicative.
vs Tien L.#18L3-6 6-7(4)Cincinnati · hardL2-6 1-6Rome Masters · clay
vs Bergs Z.#39L6-3 3-6 2-6Montreal · hardL2-6 4-6European Open - Brussels · hard
vs Faria J.#57L5-7 1-6Rio de Janeiro · clayL6-7 4-6Rio de Janeiro · clay
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vs Bellucci M.#66W7-5 6-3Montreal · hardW6-2 6-4Madrid Masters · clay
Head-to-head
4 meetings · Baez S. leads 3–1- Dzumhur D.April 2025Madrid MastersClay1-6 6-1 6-2
- Baez S.April 2025BarcelonaClay6-1 7-5
- Baez S.February 2025SantiagoClay6-4 6-4
- Baez S.May 2021Zagreb CHClay6-7 6-1 7-5
Season statistics
Form · Rating · Serve vs return · ClutchShowHide
Draw
Cite this
Umpiry, "Sebastian Baez vs Damir Dzumhur — Rolex Paris Masters - Paris Qualifying Round of 32", https://umpiry.com/match/2026-10-31/baez-vs-dzumhur-rolex-paris-masters-paris-q32?utm_source=cite (as of 31 October 2026).