Sebastian Baez vs Damir DzumhurSantiago Quarter-final

Santiago · ATP · Quarter-final
#56ATP
1759ELO
1718Clay ELO
$924kYTD
$6.9MCAREER
25 yrs · 170 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LWWWWWWWWW
2 — 0
Sets
Monday, 24 February 2025
clay
#108ATP
1638ELO
1594Clay ELO
$528kYTD
$6.9MCAREER
34 yrs · 175 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
WLWLLWWLLW
Baez S.
6-4 6-4
Dzumhur D.
Baez S.
662
Dzumhur D.
440

Sebastian Baez defeated Damir Dzumhur 6-4 6-4 in the Santiago quarter-final on clay. The result followed the form book — Sebastian Baez came in ranked #56, defending the title. Sebastian Baez extended the head-to-head to 2–1.

Key context

  • Match story: Sebastian Baez edged a tight contest from start to finish — 6–4 6–4.

Head to head

11
DateTournamentRoundSurfaceWinnerScore
2025-04-23Madrid MastersR64clayDamir Dzumhur1-6 6-1 6-2
2025-04-14BarcelonaR32claySebastian Baez6-1 7-5

Serve vs return

This season
Baez S.serving68% hold

wins 57% of points on serve vs Dzumhur D.

Dzumhur D.serving66% hold

wins 56% of points on serve vs Baez S.

Baseline battle — serve is shaky, expect plenty of breaks

Each player's serve crossed against the other's return, converted to expected hold of serve. Recent completed matches, ATP, WTA & Challenger. About

Serve & return on clay

Baez S.Dzumhur D.
1
Serve
0
44
Return
58

Per-surface Serve / Return Rating (0–100, percentile within the clay field, opponent-adjusted over 52 weeks). About

Statistics

This season
1st serve in·Slight edge
72%
67%
1st serve points won·Even
64%
63%
2nd serve points won·Even
51%
53%
Service points won·Even
60%
60%
Return points won·Even
40%
39%
Break points saved·Even
59%
59%
Aces / match·Even
1.7
1.3
Double faults / match·Slight edge
1.8
2.3

Averages over each player's completed matches in the selected window (79 vs 90). ATP, WTA & Challenger.

Clutch

Under pressure
Clutch Rating·Clear edge
87
70
Break points saved·Slight edge
96
87
Break points won·Clear edge
86
64
Deciding sets·Slight edge
88
80
Tiebreaks·Clear edge
83
70

Performance in the biggest moments — break points, deciding sets and tiebreaks (0–100, higher is better). About

Umpiry Score

Pre-match
7.8
Dominant favouriteUmpiry Score
6.4
Marginal edgeUmpiry Score
Form & Matchup
6.0+124 Clay Elo edge
Surface ELO
4.0Clay Elo 1594
6.2Overall Elo 1759
ELO gap
3.8Overall Elo 1638
5.0
H2H
5.0
8.4
Surface form
6.4
9.05-match win streak
Win streak
Fatigue & Travel
2.5
Minutes 14d
6.2
4.0
3-set count
7.0
8.0
Prev. match
9.0
Context
Defending pts
5.0

The Umpiry Score combines match-context factors — matchup, form, fatigue, travel and motivation — into a single 0–10 score, updated daily. Read how it works.

Freshness

Recent load
Freshness·Clear edge
96
82

Baez S.: 14 days rest · 1 match (14d) · Dzumhur D.: 5 days rest · 2 matches, 43 games (7d). Higher means fresher. About

Conditions

Court speed
Medium-fastrewards aggression
SlowFast
Weather
27°CClear
Wind 8 km/hHumidity 29%