Damir Dzumhur vs Mattia BellucciMadrid Masters Round of 128

Madrid Masters · ATP · Round of 128
#105ATP
1638ELO
1594Clay ELO
$528kYTD
$6.9MCAREER
34 yrs · 175 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LWLLWWLLWL
2 — 0
Sets
Wednesday, 22 April 2026
clay
#67ATP
1720ELO
1610Clay ELO
$587kYTD
$2.5MCAREER
25 yrs · 175 cm · Left-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LLWWWLWWLL
Dzumhur D.
6-2 6-4
Bellucci M.
Dzumhur D.
662
Bellucci M.
240

Damir Dzumhur defeated Mattia Bellucci 6-2 6-4 in the Madrid Masters round of 128 on clay. The upset overturned the form book — Mattia Bellucci came in ranked #67, defending last year's round of 128. Damir Dzumhur extended the head-to-head to 3–0.

Key context

Head to head

20
DateTournamentRoundSurfaceWinnerScore
2025-08-07Cincinnati MastersR128hardDamir Dzumhur7-6(7) 7-6(5)
2025-04-23Madrid MastersR128clayDamir Dzumhur4-6 6-4 6-2

Serve vs return

This season
Dzumhur D.serving68% hold

wins 58% of points on serve vs Bellucci M.

Bellucci M.serving76% hold

wins 61% of points on serve vs Dzumhur D.

Serve advantage — Bellucci M.

Each player's serve crossed against the other's return, converted to expected hold of serve. Recent completed matches, ATP, WTA & Challenger. About

Serve & return on clay

Dzumhur D.Bellucci M.
0
Serve
58
Return

Per-surface Serve / Return Rating (0–100, percentile within the clay field, opponent-adjusted over 52 weeks). About

Statistics

This season
1st serve in·Slight edge
67%
62%
1st serve points won·Clear edge
61%
73%
2nd serve points won·Even
49%
50%
Service points won·Slight edge
57%
64%
Return points won·Even
39%
36%
Break points saved·Slight edge
52%
60%
Aces / match·Dominant
1.2
5.0
Double faults / match·Slight edge
1.9
2.6

Averages over each player's completed matches in the selected window (25 vs 32). ATP, WTA & Challenger.

Clutch

Under pressure
Clutch Rating·Slight edge
70
60
Break points saved·Slight edge
87
96
Break points won·Dominant
64
10
Deciding sets·Even
80
81
Tiebreaks·Clear edge
70
85

Performance in the biggest moments — break points, deciding sets and tiebreaks (0–100, higher is better). About

Umpiry Score

Pre-match
6.6
Marginal edgeUmpiry Score
6.1
Even matchUmpiry Score
Form & Matchup
5.7Clay Elo 1594
Surface ELO
4.3+16 Clay Elo edge
4.6Overall Elo 1638
ELO gap
5.4Overall Elo 1720
10.0
H2H
0.0
3.5
Surface form
5.3
0.0Lost last 3
Win streak
0.0Lost last 2
Fatigue & Travel
9.0
Minutes 14d
9.1
8.0
Prev. match
Context
6.0
Defending pts
6.0

The Umpiry Score combines match-context factors — matchup, form, fatigue, travel and motivation — into a single 0–10 score, updated daily. Read how it works.

Freshness

Recent load
Freshness·Clear edge
76
100

Dzumhur D.: 3 days rest · 2 matches, 43 games (7d) · Bellucci M.: 18 days rest. Higher means fresher. About

Conditions

Court speed
Medium-slowfavours grinders
SlowFast
Weather
19°CClear
Wind 8 km/hHumidity 48%