Damir Dzumhur vs Mattia BellucciCincinnati Masters Round of 128

Cincinnati Masters · ATP · Round of 128
#105ATP
1638ELO
1596Hard ELO
$528kYTD
$6.9MCAREER
34 yrs · 175 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LWLLWWLLWL
2 — 0
Sets
Thursday, 7 August 2025
hard
#67ATP
1720ELO
1678Hard ELO
$587kYTD
$2.5MCAREER
25 yrs · 175 cm · Left-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LLWWWLWWLL
Dzumhur D.
7-6 7-6
Bellucci M.
Dzumhur D.
79772
Bellucci M.
67650

Damir Dzumhur defeated Mattia Bellucci 7-6 7-6 in the Cincinnati Masters round of 128 on hard. The upset overturned the form book — Mattia Bellucci came in ranked #67. Damir Dzumhur extended the head-to-head to 3–0.

Key context

Head to head

20
DateTournamentRoundSurfaceWinnerScore
2026-04-22Madrid MastersR128clayDamir Dzumhur6-2 6-4
2025-04-23Madrid MastersR128clayDamir Dzumhur4-6 6-4 6-2

Serve vs return

This season
Dzumhur D.serving80% hold

wins 63% of points on serve vs Bellucci M.

Bellucci M.serving82% hold

wins 64% of points on serve vs Dzumhur D.

Even serve battle

Each player's serve crossed against the other's return, converted to expected hold of serve. Recent completed matches, ATP, WTA & Challenger. About

Serve & return on hard

Dzumhur D.Bellucci M.
2
Serve
0
35
Return
40

Per-surface Serve / Return Rating (0–100, percentile within the hard field, opponent-adjusted over 52 weeks). About

Statistics

This season
1st serve in·Slight edge
67%
61%
1st serve points won·Slight edge
63%
72%
2nd serve points won·Even
53%
50%
Service points won·Even
60%
64%
Return points won·Even
39%
36%
Break points saved·Even
58%
61%
Aces / match·Dominant
1.2
5.4
Double faults / match·Slight edge
2.2
2.7

Averages over each player's completed matches in the selected window (90 vs 85). ATP, WTA & Challenger.

Clutch

Under pressure
Clutch Rating·Slight edge
70
60
Break points saved·Slight edge
87
96
Break points won·Dominant
64
10
Deciding sets·Even
80
81
Tiebreaks·Clear edge
70
85

Performance in the biggest moments — break points, deciding sets and tiebreaks (0–100, higher is better). About

Umpiry Score

Pre-match
6.5
Marginal edgeUmpiry Score
4.8
Heavy underdogUmpiry Score
  • Recent retirement (−1.5)
Form & Matchup
4.3Hard Elo 1596
Surface ELO
5.7+82 Hard Elo edge
4.6Overall Elo 1638
ELO gap
5.4Overall Elo 1720
5.0
H2H
5.0
6.6
Surface form
2.1
0.0
Win streak
0.0
Fatigue & Travel
9.1
Minutes 14d
8.8
9.0
Prev. match
8.0
4.5
Country comfort
Context
5.0
Defending pts
5.0

The Umpiry Score combines match-context factors — matchup, form, fatigue, travel and motivation — into a single 0–10 score, updated daily. Read how it works.

Freshness

Recent load
Freshness·Clear edge
76
100

Dzumhur D.: 3 days rest · 2 matches, 43 games (7d) · Bellucci M.: 18 days rest. Higher means fresher. About

Conditions

Court speed
Medium-fastrewards aggression
SlowFast
Weather
28°CClear
Wind 5 km/hHumidity 67%